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The latest Bet Better model pick for Joc Pederson is Over 2.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 40 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 40%, the price says 21%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10
Over 0.50 1Blanded 6 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 23, 2:37AM UTC
MLB

Joc Pederson

TEX

Value call

Joc Pederson has one live pick today: Batter - Total Bases Over 2.5 that pays $470 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Over 2.5 +370 (4.70) · $100→$470
Value call
Toronto Blue Jays @ Texas Rangers
Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas · Indoor
Sat 19 Sep, 12:05AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 188 of 394 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
DAY-TO-DAY
Pederson (hand) is out of the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Mets.
updated Sep 22, 9:26PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
40 in 100
Predicted
1.6 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 40.4% · before adjusting for past results 42.2% · the book's price implies 21.3% · gap +19.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases42.2%40.4%21.3%2.48+20.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays: Joc Pederson Over 2.5 Batter - Total Bases (+370)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

At Globe Life Field, he has a decent chance to get more plate appearances than usual, which could really help his chances to rack up total bases. The Texas Rangers have been scoring well lately, coming out ahead by about 0.8 runs a game in their last 12 matches. The Toronto Blue Jays have struggled against left-handed pitchers this season, and that might play into Pederson's favor. Even though both teams have won 5 of their last 10, the Blue Jays have not been as strong when facing lefties. This matchup has a real chance of going Pederson's way, but the risk is that he hasn't played here much, which could limit his opportunities.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Joc Pederson is averaging 0.0 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.0
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
0.0
Runs
0.0
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Joc Pederson has gone over 1.5 total bases in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.540%
o2.510%
o3.510%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Joc Pederson is averaging 0.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.0 in away games, including his recent form against CLE.

0.0
Hits · Overall
0.0
Hits · Away
0.6
Hits · vs CLE
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.2
HR · vs CLE
Quick answers:How many home runs does Joc Pederson hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Joc Pederson (TEX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Joc Pederson is Over 2.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.9% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers on Saturday 19 September at Globe Life Field, Arlington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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