Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Joc Pederson is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 65%, for a model edge of +12.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 24, 1:41AM UTC
MLB

Joc Pederson

SFG

+12.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -189 (1.53)
+12.2% Edge
Chicago White Sox @ Texas Rangers
Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas · Indoor
Tue 21 Jul, 12:05AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
77.5%
Implied Probability
65.4%
Model Edge
+12.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases77.5%—65.4%1.29+12.2%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Joc Pederson (SFG) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-189)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Texas Rangers gear up to face the Chicago White Sox, all eyes will be on Joc Pederson, but betting on him to go over 1.5 total bases might be a stretch. The Rangers’ pitching staff has been on fire lately, with a solid ERA that’s kept hitters at bay. Pederson, despite his power potential, has faced tough left-handed pitchers like the Rangers’ starter, who has proven to be a challenge for lefties. Moreover, Pederson’s recent form shows a dip in productivity against quality arms, further complicating his chances to rack up those bases. With the Rangers’ defense tightening up and their ability to limit extra-base hits, it’s hard to see him breaking through tonight. Given the trends and matchups, betting the under feels like the smart play here. Expect a night where Pederson might find himself frustrated at the plate, making this wager a compelling option.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
Streak6L2080%
O 0.580%
O 1.530%
O 2.510%

Joc Pederson MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
Streak2L2055%
O 1.560%
O 2.540%
O 3.540%
O 4.510%
O 5.510%

Joc Pederson MLB total bases: cleared over 1.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.510%

Joc Pederson MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak8L2085%
O 0.590%
O 1.570%
O 2.560%
O 3.540%
O 4.540%

Joc Pederson MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2050%
O 0.550%
O 1.540%

Joc Pederson MLB rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
L2060%
O 0.570%
O 1.550%

Joc Pederson MLB runs scored: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.510%

Joc Pederson MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Joc Pederson MLB walksseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Jul 26 Chicago White Sox @ Texas Rangers Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -189 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Joc Pederson (SFG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Joc Pederson is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.2% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago White Sox vs Texas Rangers on Tuesday 21 July at Globe Life Field, Arlington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks