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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Bennett is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 75%, implied 60%, edge +29.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 14, 8:12AM UTC
MLB

Jake Bennett

MLB

+29.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 4.5 -147 (1.68) · $100→$168
+29.8% Edge
Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Fri 14 Aug, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 643 of 1,242 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
89 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 89.3% · the book's price implies 59.5% · gap +29.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts89.3%75.1%59.5%1.74+29.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Jake Bennett Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-147)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Pittsburgh Pirates host the Boston Red Sox, all eyes will be on Jake Bennett, who’s been a bit of an enigma on the mound. While the young righty has flashes of brilliance, he hasn't consistently racked up strikeouts. With a line set at 4.5, the under is looking quite appealing. Boston's lineup is no slouch; they’ve been hitting the ball hard and often, ranking among the top in the league for contact percentage. That might limit Bennett's ability to miss bats, especially against a lineup featuring stars like Rafael Devers and Alex Verdugo. Moreover, Bennett has averaged just 2.44 strikeouts in recent outings. With the Red Sox’s disciplined approach at the plate, coupled with Pittsburgh’s shaky hitting support, it’s easy to see him struggling to reach that 4.5 mark. Expect a lower strikeout total in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Pitcher - StrikeoutsUpcoming gameU 4.5 -147

Jake Bennett MLB strikeouts. Current line U 4.5 at -147.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Aug 26 Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -154 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Athletics @ Boston Red Sox Pitcher - Walks Pending
08 Aug 26 Athletics @ Boston Red Sox Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending

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About This Player

Jake Bennett is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Bennett is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.8% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday 14 August at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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