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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Flaherty is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 97%, versus the book's implied 92%, for a model edge of +5.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:03PM UTC
MLB

Jack Flaherty

DET

+5.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 1.5 -1111 (1.09)
+5.6% Edge
Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers
Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan · Outdoor
Tue 7 Oct, 8:08PM
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs DET @ CHC
updated Jul 21, 12:05AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
97.4%
Implied Probability
91.7%
Model Edge
+5.6%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed97.4%91.7%1.03+5.6%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Jack Flaherty (DET) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak33L20100%
O 2.5100%
O 3.5100%
O 4.580%
O 5.550%
O 6.540%
O 7.520%
O 8.520%

Jack Flaherty MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak22L20100%
O 1.5100%
O 2.5100%
O 3.570%
O 4.550%

Jack Flaherty MLB hits allowed: cleared over 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
L2090%
O 0.580%
O 1.580%
O 2.540%
O 3.510%

Jack Flaherty MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
1.6avg earned runs · L5
Streak2L2055%

Jack Flaherty MLB earned runs: cleared over 1.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 1.6 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
16.4avg outs · L5
L2090%

Jack Flaherty MLB outs: cleared over 14.5 in 80% of the last 10 games; averaging 16.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jack Flaherty (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Flaherty is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.6% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers on Tuesday 7 October at Comerica Park, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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