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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Emerson Hancock is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 54%, implied 57%, edge +0.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 BBlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 1.50 BBlanded 6 of the last 10
Under 4.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 3, 1:19PM UTC
MLB

Emerson Hancock

SEA

+0.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -132 (1.76) · $100→$176
+0.4% Edge
Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Fri 28 Aug, 11:15PM
OUT
Seattle placed Hancock (groin) on the 15-day injured list Sunday with a left adductor strain, retroactive to Aug. 29.
updated Aug 30, 5:08PM UTC · 3d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
57 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 57.2% · the book's price implies 56.8% · gap +0.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs57.2%54.4%56.8%1.82+0.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Emerson Hancock (SEA) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Toronto Blue Jays play Seattle Mariners in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Emerson Hancock (SEA) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-132). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -132 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.58 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Emerson Hancock has gone over 2.5 SO in 20% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.520%
o3.50%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -132 ✗ MISS
28 Aug 26 Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -167 ✗ MISS
22 Aug 26 Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending
15 Aug 26 Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros Pitcher - Walks Pending
15 Aug 26 Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending

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About This Player

Emerson Hancock (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Emerson Hancock is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.4% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays on Friday 28 August at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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