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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Emerson Hancock is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 81%, versus the book's implied 58%, for a model edge of +22.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 11:14PM UTC
MLB

Emerson Hancock

MLB

+22.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 -141 (1.71) · $100→$171
+22.7% Edge
Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Sun 9 Aug, 8:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 559 of 1,032 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
81.2%
Implied Probability
58.5%
Model Edge
+22.7%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks81.2%58.5%1.23+22.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games10/10

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AI Analysis

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Emerson Hancock Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-141)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Seattle Mariners play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Emerson Hancock Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-141). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -141 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.09 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Emerson Hancock has gone over 2.5 SO in 30% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.530%
o3.520%
o4.510%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -164 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
30 Jul 26 Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Earned Runs 3.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Walks Pending
05 Aug 26 Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Walks Pending
05 Aug 26 Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending

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About This Player

Emerson Hancock is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Emerson Hancock is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.7% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners on Sunday 9 August at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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