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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dylan Moore is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On the Batter - Stolen Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 86%, versus the book's implied 84%, for a model edge of +2.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:03PM UTC
MLB

Dylan Moore

SEA

+2.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -526 (1.19)
+2.2% Edge
Boston Red Sox @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Wed 18 Jun, 8:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
86.2%
Implied Probability
84.0%
Model Edge
+2.2%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases86.2%84.0%1.16+2.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Dylan Moore (SEA) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Dylan Moore for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice due to his recent and overall performance. Over the last five games, Moore's stolen base average is 0.4, which is below the line set at 0.5. This trend is even more pronounced when he's playing at home, where his stolen base average drops to 0.2. Furthermore, when playing against the Boston Red Sox, his stolen base average remains at 0.2. This indicates that Moore is less likely to steal bases, particularly at home and against this opponent. Additionally, Moore's current hit streak does not significantly influence his ability to steal bases, as evidenced by his lower averages. These statistics collectively suggest the likelihood of Moore staying under 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
1avg hits · L5
L2060%
O 0.550%
O 1.540%
O 2.510%

Dylan Moore MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 1 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
1.6avg total bases · L5
O 1.540%
O 2.530%
O 3.520%
O 4.520%

Dylan Moore MLB total bases: averaging 1.6 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg home runs · L5

Dylan Moore MLB home runs: averaging 0.2 home runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
1.8avg H+R+RBI · L5
Streak3L2070%

Dylan Moore MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 1.8 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
0.8avg singles · L5
L2055%

Dylan Moore MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.8 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg walks · L5
O 0.520%

Dylan Moore MLB walks: averaging 0.4 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Stolen BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg stolen bases · L5

Dylan Moore MLB stolen bases: averaging 0.4 stolen bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Dylan Moore (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dylan Moore is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners on Wednesday 18 June at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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