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The latest Bet Better model pick for Drew Anderson is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 48%, implied 52%, edge +3.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 1.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 4, 8:12PM UTC
MLB

Drew Anderson

DET

+3.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 4.5 -110 (1.91) · $100→$191
+3.6% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins
Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota · Outdoor
Wed 2 Sep, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter hits overs: 70 of 101 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
56 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 55.9% · the book's price implies 52.4% · gap +3.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed55.9%48.0%52.4%2.07+3.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers: Drew Anderson Under 4.5 Pitcher - Hits Allowed (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Drew Anderson takes the mound for the Minnesota Twins at home, where they've been a bit stronger this season. The Twins have been decent against left-handed pitchers, showing they can handle similar styles. Anderson's facing a Detroit Tigers team that has struggled lately, winning just two of their last ten games. They also haven't hit particularly well against lefties this year, which gives Anderson a chance to keep their hits down. The risk here is that both teams are fairly close in how they've performed lately, making this a tough matchup. Still, with Anderson pitching at home and the Tigers not finding their groove, betting on him to allow under 4.5 hits seems like a good option.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Drew Anderson has gone over 1.5 SO in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.5100%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
Quick answers:How many strikeouts does Drew Anderson average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Sep 26 Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
02 Sep 26 Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -154 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Detroit Tigers Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -159 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Detroit Tigers Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
28 Aug 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Detroit Tigers Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
28 Aug 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Detroit Tigers Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Drew Anderson (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Drew Anderson is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.6% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins on Wednesday 2 September at Target Field, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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