SYSTEM STATUS: Online WIN: WON: Linda Noskova @ Madison Keys (Linda Noskova @ +142) TREND: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days WIN: WON: Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels (Los Angeles Angels 6.5 @ -116) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +584.2 units this season WIN: WON: Linda Noskova @ Madison Keys (Linda Noskova @ +117) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +584.2 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Totals hitting 80.0% over 30 days WIN: WON: Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels (Los Angeles Angels 6 @ +140) WIN: WON: Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels (Los Angeles Angels 5 @ +300) WIN: WON: Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels (Los Angeles Angels 4.5 @ +350) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1253.5 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +452.8 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Totals hitting 78.9% over 30 days WIN: WON: Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels (Los Angeles Angels 5.5 @ +190) TREND: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1216.5 units this season WIN: WON: Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels (Los Angeles Angels 3.5 @ +580) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +625) WIN: WON: Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels (Los Angeles Angels 4 @ +550) RESULT: WON: Linda Noskova @ Madison Keys (Linda Noskova @ +142) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels (Los Angeles Angels 6.5 @ -116) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +584.2 units this season RESULT: WON: Linda Noskova @ Madison Keys (Linda Noskova @ +117) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +584.2 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Totals hitting 80.0% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels (Los Angeles Angels 6 @ +140) RESULT: WON: Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels (Los Angeles Angels 5 @ +300) RESULT: WON: Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels (Los Angeles Angels 4.5 @ +350) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1253.5 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +452.8 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Totals hitting 78.9% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels (Los Angeles Angels 5.5 @ +190) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1216.5 units this season RESULT: WON: Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels (Los Angeles Angels 3.5 @ +580) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +625) RESULT: WON: Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels (Los Angeles Angels 4 @ +550)
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MLB

Dominic Smith

NYM

+6.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -323 (1.31)
+6.4% Edge
Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta
Tue 4 Aug, 11:15PM
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Model Probability
82.7%
Implied Probability
76.3%
Model Edge
+6.4%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Dominic Smith (NYM) Under 1.5 Hits (-323)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the Braves-Marlins clash, keep an eye on Dominic Smith's performance at the plate. While he’s had his moments, recent trends suggest he might struggle to get on base against Atlanta's formidable pitching staff. The Braves have been exceptional at limiting opposing hitters, boasting a strikeout rate that ranks among the best in the league. Smith's recent form has been shaky, and against a pitcher like Max Fried, who excels at keeping hitters off balance, the odds are not in his favor. With Fried’s ability to generate swings and misses, it’s a tall order for Smith to notch more than one hit tonight. The combination of Fried's prowess and Smith's inconsistency makes the under on 1.5 hits a compelling play. Expect the Braves’ defense to keep Smith in check, making this a smart bet to consider.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 100.0% (6/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Jun 26 Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 2.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants Batter - RBIs 1.5 Under -1000 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -164 ✓ HIT
25 Jun 26 Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits Pending
25 Jun 26 Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Pending
25 Jun 26 Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres Batter - Runs Scored Pending

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About This Player

Dominic Smith (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (6/6). The latest model pick for Dominic Smith is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.4% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves on Tuesday 4 August at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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