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MLB

Chris Sale

ATL

+2.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 1.5 -2500 (1.04)
+2.3% Edge
Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta
Mon 22 Sep, 11:15PM
Model Probability
98.4%
Implied Probability
96.2%
Model Edge
+2.3%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Chris Sale (ATL) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-2500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Chris Sale's performance data supports the bet on allowing over 1.5 hits in the upcoming game. His overall average hits allowed in the last five games is 6.2, well above the bet line. Even when considering his home game average, it's still at 5.6 hits. Furthermore, his hit streaks, both overall and at home, show a consistent trend of allowing hits. His performance against the Nationals also leans towards this bet, with an average of 5.3 hits allowed. While his innings pitched and outs averages suggest he's not often in the game for long, they still provide ample opportunity for the opposing team to score hits. Therefore, based on Sale's recent performance and his specific record against the Nationals, the Over 1.5 hits allowed is a statistically sound bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

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