Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Chris Sale is Under 18.5 on Pitcher - Outs.
On the Pitcher - Outs market the model assigns a model win probability of 100%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +28.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:20PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Outs
Under 18.5
-250 (1.40) · $100→$140
+28.2% Edge
Atlanta Braves
@
New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 5:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
71.4%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Outs | 99.7% | — | 71.4% | 1.00 | +28.2% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 4/5 |
| Last 10 games | 6/10 |
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Chris Sale (ATL) Under 18.5 Outs Recorded (-250)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
New York Yankees play Atlanta Braves in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Chris Sale (ATL) Under 18.5 Outs Recorded (-250). That is a Outs Recorded bet. It was priced at -250 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted Chris Sale MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Chris Sale MLB earned runs: cleared over 1.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Chris Sale MLB outs: averaging 14 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Chris Sale (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chris Sale is Under 18.5 on Pitcher - Outs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +28.2% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees on Sunday 9 August at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.