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Chris Sale

ATL

Value call

Chris Sale has one live pick today: over 18.5 outs recorded that pays $264 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
37 in 100
Predicted
18.3 outs recorded
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 37.0% · before adjusting for past results 46.5% · the book's price implies 37.9% · gap -0.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Tue 6 Oct, 6:00 PM ET
Chris Sale
over 18.5 outs recorded
Pitcher - Outs Over 18.5 +164 (2.64) · $100→$264
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 37 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$26.40 Odds+164
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Chris Sale is Over 18.5 on Pitcher - Outs.
On Pitcher - Outs, our numbers say this bet wins about 37 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 37%, the price says 38%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 14, 3:13AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 143 of 246 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Outs46.5%37.0%37.9%2.61+8.6%

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AI Analysis

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Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Chris Sale Over 18.5 Pitcher - Outs (+164)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Chris Sale needs to get over 18 and a half outs tonight against the Braves. He has been pretty solid at Truist Park, throwing an average of over 100 pitches in his last 10 games there. With a solid performance, he could easily reach that mark, especially since he faces a Braves team that has allowed a fair number of runs this season. The Dodgers are hot, winning 8 of their last 10 games, but the Braves have also shown they can score runs. The risk here is that both teams are closely matched, which could mean fewer chances for Sale to get those outs. Still, if he can stay on his game, he's got a good shot to clear that total.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Oct 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -149 ✓ HIT
06 Oct 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending
06 Oct 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
06 Oct 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
06 Oct 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
06 Oct 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Chris Sale (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chris Sale is Over 18.5 on Pitcher - Outs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.6% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves on Tuesday 6 October at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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