Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Carlos Rodon is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 91%, for a model edge of +6.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 7:07PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts
Over 2.5
-1000 (1.10) · $100→$110
+6.8% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays
@
New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Wed 8 Oct, 12:08AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
OUT
Rodon (elbow) allowed three runs on three hits and two walks while striking out four in his first rehab outing with Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre on Saturday.
updated Aug 8, 11:41PM UTC · 1d old
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Implied Probability
90.9%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Strikeouts | 97.7% | — | 90.9% | 1.02 | +6.8% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 3/3 |
| Last 5 games | 5/5 |
| Last 10 games | 10/10 |
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Carlos Rodon (NYY) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-1000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.5100%
O 3.5100%
O 4.590%
O 5.560%
O 6.560%
O 7.550%
O 8.530%
Carlos Rodon MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 1.590%
O 2.580%
O 3.560%
O 4.530%
O 5.510%
Carlos Rodon MLB hits allowed: cleared over 1.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.5100%
O 1.580%
O 2.550%
O 3.530%
Carlos Rodon MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted 60%hit L10
2.8avg earned runs · L5
L2065%
Carlos Rodon MLB earned runs: cleared over 1.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 2.8 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted 100%hit L10
17.4avg outs · L5
Streak12L2085%
Carlos Rodon MLB outs: cleared over 14.5 in 100% of the last 10 games; averaging 17.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Carlos Rodon (NYY) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Carlos Rodon is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.8% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees on Wednesday 8 October at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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