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The latest Bet Better model pick for Carlos Rodon is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 89%, for a model edge of +8.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
MLB

Carlos Rodon

NYY

+8.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 -833 (1.12)
+8.4% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Wed 8 Oct, 12:08AM
OUT
Rodon (elbow) received a second round of injections after throwing about 10 pitches off a mound Friday and could progress to a full bullpen session this week, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.
updated Jul 19, 4:05PM UTC · 1d old
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Model Probability
97.7%
Implied Probability
89.3%
Model Edge
+8.4%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts97.7%89.3%1.02+8.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Carlos Rodon (NYY) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-833)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak26L20100%
O 2.5100%
O 3.5100%
O 4.590%
O 5.560%
O 6.560%
O 7.550%
O 8.530%

Carlos Rodon MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak9L2095%
O 1.590%
O 2.580%
O 3.560%
O 4.530%
O 5.510%

Carlos Rodon MLB hits allowed: cleared over 1.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak23L20100%
O 0.5100%
O 1.580%
O 2.550%
O 3.530%

Carlos Rodon MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
2.8avg earned runs · L5
L2065%
O 1.560%
O 2.530%

Carlos Rodon MLB earned runs: cleared over 1.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 2.8 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
17.4avg outs · L5
Streak12L2085%

Carlos Rodon MLB outs: cleared over 14.5 in 100% of the last 10 games; averaging 17.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Carlos Rodon (NYY) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Carlos Rodon is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.4% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees on Wednesday 8 October at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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