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MLB

Cal Quantrill

MIA

+4.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -1429 (1.07)
+4.9% Edge
Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Thu 28 Aug, 10:45PM
Model Probability
98.4%
Implied Probability
93.5%
Model Edge
+4.9%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Cal Quantrill (MIA) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1429)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cal Quantrill's recent performance indicates that the bet on him allowing over 2.5 hits is a good choice. In his last five games, Quantrill has averaged 6.8 hits allowed overall and 5 hits allowed when playing away. Even more telling, his average hits allowed against the Phillies is also at 5. His innings pitched (IP) averages are lower, with 4 overall and slightly higher at 4.3 and 4.6 when away and against the Phillies respectively. This suggests Quantrill tends to allow more than one hit per inning. Furthermore, his current hit streaks stand at 8 overall and 3 away. All these statistics imply a high likelihood of Quantrill allowing more than 2.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Phillies, making the Over bet a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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