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The latest Bet Better model pick for Cal Quantrill is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 93%, for a model edge of +4.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:03PM UTC
MLB

Cal Quantrill

MIA

+4.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -1429 (1.07)
+4.9% Edge
Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Thu 28 Aug, 10:45PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
98.4%
Implied Probability
93.5%
Model Edge
+4.9%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed98.4%—93.5%1.02+4.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Cal Quantrill (MIA) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1429)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cal Quantrill's recent performance indicates that the bet on him allowing over 2.5 hits is a good choice. In his last five games, Quantrill has averaged 6.8 hits allowed overall and 5 hits allowed when playing away. Even more telling, his average hits allowed against the Phillies is also at 5. His innings pitched (IP) averages are lower, with 4 overall and slightly higher at 4.3 and 4.6 when away and against the Phillies respectively. This suggests Quantrill tends to allow more than one hit per inning. Furthermore, his current hit streaks stand at 8 overall and 3 away. All these statistics imply a high likelihood of Quantrill allowing more than 2.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Phillies, making the Over bet a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.540%
O 3.540%
O 4.520%

Cal Quantrill MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak8L2095%
O 2.590%
O 3.590%
O 4.570%
O 5.570%
O 6.550%
O 7.520%

Cal Quantrill MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak2L2090%
O 0.590%
O 1.580%
O 2.550%
O 3.540%

Cal Quantrill MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
4.4avg earned runs · L5
Streak2L2070%

Cal Quantrill MLB earned runs: cleared over 2.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 4.4 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
12.4avg outs · L5
L2060%

Cal Quantrill MLB outs: cleared over 14.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 12.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Cal Quantrill (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cal Quantrill is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.9% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday 28 August at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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