Brandon Lockridge (SDP) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Brewers gear up to host the Blue Jays, all eyes will be on Brandon Lockridge's base-stealing potential. However, diving into the numbers reveals a compelling case for the "Under 0.5" on his stolen bases. Lockridge has been cautious on the base paths this season, with a mere 0.06 predicted steals per game, highlighting a tendency to play it safe rather than take risks.
The Brewers' pitching staff, particularly their ability to hold runners, has been impressive, limiting opponents to an unusually low success rate. Add in the fact that Lockridge isn’t exactly a speedster on the bases, and the case strengthens. He thrives in a more conservative role, focusing on getting on base rather than taking chances. Overall, with an implied probability hovering around 90.9%, the under on Lockridge's stolen bases looks like a savvy play as both teams clash in what should be a tightly contested matchup.