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The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Alvarez is Over 6.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 23 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 23%, the price says 15%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 1.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 3.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 20, 2:53AM UTC
MLB

Andrew Alvarez

WSN

Value call

Andrew Alvarez has one live pick today: Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 6.5 that pays $666 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 6.5 +566 (6.66) · $100→$666
Value call
Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals
Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri · Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep, 11:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 72 of 119 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs WSH @ STL
updated Sep 19, 11:15PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
23 in 100
Predicted
4.7 Pitcher - Strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 23.2% · before adjusting for past results 19.4% · the book's price implies 15.0% · gap +8.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts19.4%23.2%15.0%4.31+4.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/7

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AI Analysis

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Andrew Alvarez (WSN) Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+566)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play Washington Nationals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Andrew Alvarez (WSN) Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+566). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at +566 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $66.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Andrew Alvarez has gone over 1.5 SO in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.5100%
o2.5100%
o3.590%
o4.580%
o5.540%
o6.540%
o7.520%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -156 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals Pitcher - Earned Runs 1.5 Under +113 ✓ HIT
07 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -143 ✗ MISS
07 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending

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About This Player

Andrew Alvarez (WSN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Alvarez is Over 6.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.4% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals on Saturday 19 September at Busch Stadium, St. Louis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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