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Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
MLB
For the numbers: model probability 54.6% · the book's price implies 46.5% · gap +8.1%.
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.
Washington Nationals play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Andrew Alvarez Under 1.5 Earned Runs (+115). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at +115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Andrew Alvarez has gone over 1.5 SO in 71% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Andrew Alvarez is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Alvarez is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.1% on this pick. Their next game is Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals on Tuesday 25 August at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.
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Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.