On Monday 28 September 2026, Manchester United play Tottenham Hotspur in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Both Teams To Score: No, priced at +168 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur: Both Teams To Score: No (+168)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

When Manchester United hosts Tottenham, the trend points distinctly towards a game with fewer goals. Both teams have struggled offensively lately, with United averaging just 1.6 goals in their last five matches and Spurs limping along with a mere 0.4. Their xG numbers tell a similar story—both teams have managed to create very little threat, averaging zero xG in their last outings. United’s home form has been shaky, yet they’ve been solid defensively, limiting opponents to an average of 1.6 goals. Meanwhile, Tottenham's away form has been dismal, with no goals scored in three of their last five matches. The historical encounters have also leaned toward a lack of fireworks, with only two of their last five meetings seeing both teams find the net. Given the current state of affairs, betting on "No" for both teams to score seems a sound play.

Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur: Under 3.5 Total Goals (-154)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Manchester United prepares to host Tottenham, the matchup has all the earmarks of a low-scoring affair. Both teams have shown a penchant for struggle in front of goal recently. United averages just 1.6 goals per game in their last five outings, while Spurs are even worse, scraping together a mere 0.4 goals. The contrasting statistics highlight a troubling trend; United have managed only 1.6 expected goals per game at home, while Spurs’ away form has been dismal, yielding just 0.8 goals on the road. With both sides struggling to convert chances—especially Tottenham, whose last five have showcased a paltry 2.8 shots on target per game—the under on total goals feels like a savvy choice. Given these factors, betting on under 3.5 goals seems not just reasonable, but almost inevitable for this encounter.

That is how our model reads Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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