Kon Knueppel (Charlotte Hornets) Under 3.5 Threes Made (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the New York Knicks, all eyes will be on Kon Knueppel, but I'm feeling cautious about his three-point shooting. While he's hit the mark in 11 of his last 18 home games, he's been dialing it back lately, averaging just 2.8 threes in his last five outings. Against the Knicks, the numbers don't favor him either; he's averaged a mere half a three-pointer per game in their last five matchups, and even worse, at home, he hasn't hit a single one. With an expected value of just 3.03 and a hit rate that's trending down, it feels like the under on 3.5 threes is the smart play here. Given the stakes and his recent form, I see Knueppel struggling to find his rhythm against a tough Knicks defense. Let's lean into the under and watch the game unfold.

Brandon Miller (Charlotte Hornets) Under 3.5 Threes Made (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the New York Knicks, targeting Brandon Miller for under 3.5 threes made feels like a savvy play. Despite his impressive shooting numbers-averaging 4 threes at home and 3.6 against the Knicks historically-there's a compelling narrative at play. Miller's recent form shows an average of just 2.85 expected threes, which suggests he might not hit that 3.5 mark tonight. While he's had a solid hit rate lately, with 8 out of his last 11 games going over, the Knicks' defensive schemes have a knack for shutting down perimeter shooting. Given that Miller's average against them at home is precisely 3.5, it feels like the perfect opportunity for regression. With the stakes high and the Knicks looking to tighten up defensively, betting the under on Miller's threes could be the smart move tonight.

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