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AFL

Touk Miller

Gold Coast SUNS

+3.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 23.5 -102 (1.98)
+3.2% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast
Fri 6 Mar, 9:05AM
Model Probability
53.7%
Implied Probability
50.5%
Model Edge
+3.2%
Predicted Value
23.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Touk Miller (Gold Coast SUNS) Under 23.5 Disposals (-102)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Touk Miller's recent form, it's clear he's been a pivotal figure for the Gold Coast Suns, especially in their home games. While he's been solid with an average of 21.8 disposals in his last five home games, his performance against Geelong hasn't quite hit that mark, averaging 24 disposals in their last five encounters. Miller's recent contested possessions average of 8.4 and turnovers at 2.6 also suggest he may face challenges against Geelong's pressure. With an impressive Metres Gained average of 352.8 in his home games, he's been influential but might struggle to reach the 23.5 disposal line sportsbet has set, making the Under a smart play for this matchup at People First Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 72.0% (36/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Mar 26 Geelong Cats @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 23.5 Under -102 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals 25.5 Under -122 ✓ HIT
22 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 19.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
22 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending
22 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending
22 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending

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