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The latest Bet Better model pick for Noah Anderson is Over 23.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 94%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +9.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 8:03AM UTC
AFL

Noah Anderson

Gold Coast SUNS

+9.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 23.5 -588 (1.17)
+9.0% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast, QLD · Outdoor
Sun 19 Jul, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
94.4%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+9.0%
Predicted Value
31.4 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals94.4%—85.5%1.06+9.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Noah Anderson (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 23.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Noah Anderson, the rising star for the Gold Coast Suns, is poised to shine brightly in their clash against the Western Bulldogs at People First Stadium. Anderson's recent form at home has been nothing short of stellar, averaging a whopping 30.4 disposals per game over his last five matches. With an impressive disposal efficiency of 77.2% and a knack for gaining crucial meters for his team, Anderson consistently delivers on the field. Moreover, in his last five encounters against the Bulldogs, Anderson has maintained an average of 25.7 disposals, demonstrating his ability to perform consistently against this opponent. With an overall hit rate of 10 out of his last 11 games, Anderson is in scintillating form. Expect him to once again lead the charge and surpass the 23.5 disposals line set by sportsbet, making him a prime candidate for this player prop bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Disposalsvs Western BulldogsO 28.5 -111+19.4% edge
60%hit L10 O 28.5
30avg disposals L5
Home30.4vs Western Bulldogs24.6Season best42
O 26.570%
O 27.560%
O 28.560%
O 29.550%
O 30.550%
O 31.530%
Game log vs line (O 28.5)6 / 10 hit
23393029272330263330

Noah Anderson has gone over 28.5 disposals in 6 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 30 disposals, best 42). Current line: Over 28.5 at -111, model edge +19.4%.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 26.5 Over -182 ✗ MISS
11 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 25.5 Over -250 ✗ MISS
11 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 24.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
11 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
11 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
12 Jun 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Noah Anderson (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Noah Anderson is Over 23.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.0% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns on Sunday 19 July at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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