Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Malcolm Rosas is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 81 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 81%, implied 68%, edge +12.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 6:37PM UTC
AFL
Malcolm Rosas
Gold Coast SUNS
Latest Model Pick
Goals
Over 0.5
-213 (1.47) · $100→$147
+12.6% Edge
Gold Coast Suns
@
St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 25 May, 6:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 12°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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How often this wins
81 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 80.6% · the book's price implies 68.0% · gap +12.6%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Goals | 80.6% | — | 68.0% | 1.24 | +12.6% |
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Malcolm Rosas (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-213)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Malcolm Rosas has been consistent in his last five away games, averaging 1.2 goals with a 35.0% goal accuracy. His involvement in scores with an average of 4 per game indicates a strong offensive contribution. With an average of 1.6 shots on goal and 2.2 inside 50s per game, Rosas is actively involved in creating scoring opportunities. Considering his recent form and the model's prediction of 1.2 goals for this game, there's a 12.6% edge to him scoring. The bet on Malcolm Rosas to Score Anytime is well-supported by his strong offensive capabilities and consistent goal-scoring record.
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Season averages (2024)
Malcolm Rosas averaged 7.3 disposals, 1.7 goals and 2.0 marks per game across 7 games in 2024.
Recent game log
In his most recent game (2 Aug 24 vs West Coast Eagles), Malcolm Rosas recorded 3 disposals and 0 goals.
| Date | Opp | Disp | Goals | Marks | Tackles |
|---|
| 2 Aug 24 | West Coast Eagles | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul 24 | Brisbane Lions | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 Jul 24 | Port Adelaide | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 Apr 24 | Hawthorn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 Apr 24 | GWS GIANTS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 16 Mar 24 | Adelaide Crows | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 Mar 24 | Richmond | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 26 Aug 23 | North Melbourne | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| 19 Aug 23 | Carlton | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 Aug 23 | Sydney Swans | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Malcolm Rosas (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Malcolm Rosas is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.6% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 25 May at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
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