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AFL

Joel Jeffrey

Gold Coast SUNS

Value call

Joel Jeffrey (Gold Coast SUNS) has one live pick today: over 15.5 disposals that pays $165 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
58 in 100
Predicted
19.8 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 57.7% · before adjusting for past results 80.5% · the book's price implies 60.6% · gap -2.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 1:10 PM AEST
Joel Jeffrey
over 15.5 disposals
Disposals Over 15.5 -154 (1.65) · $100→$165
Value call
LEANWins about 58 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.50 Odds-154
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Joel Jeffrey is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 58%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 7:03PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 15°C (Jun 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals80.5%57.7%60.6%1.73+19.9%

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AI Analysis

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Joel Jeffrey (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 15.5 Disposals (-154)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Joel Jeffrey to go over 15.5 disposals against the Greater Western Sydney Giants, the numbers paint a compelling picture. In his last five away games, he's been averaging a solid 16 disposals, showing consistency in finding the footy. His recent form against this opponent also bodes well, with an average of 15.5 disposals in their previous encounters. Jeffrey's ability to cover the ground is evident, with an average of 341.8 meters gained per game, showcasing his influence in driving his team forward. With a knack for uncontested possessions and a high disposal efficiency of 80.8%, Joel Jeffrey is poised to thrive in this matchup, making the Over bet a tantalizing prospect for footy punters.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Joel Jeffrey averaged 16.6 disposals, 0.1 goals and 3.7 marks per game across 12 games in 2024.

16.6
Disposals
0.1
Goals
3.7
Marks
1.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (2 Aug 24 vs West Coast Eagles), Joel Jeffrey recorded 8 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
2 Aug 24West Coast Eagles8010
27 Jul 24Brisbane Lions17041
20 Jul 24GWS GIANTS7000
14 Jul 24Port Adelaide20051
6 Jul 24North Melbourne16024
29 Jun 24Collingwood20061
23 Jun 24Fremantle9051
8 Jun 24St Kilda290122
2 Jun 24Essendon18061
25 May 24Carlton14001
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 13.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 12.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 11.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Joel Jeffrey (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Joel Jeffrey is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.9% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 9 August at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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