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AFL

Joel Jeffrey

Gold Coast SUNS

+13.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -196 (1.51)
+13.4% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Sat 13 Sep, 9:35AM
Model Probability
79.6%
Implied Probability
66.2%
Model Edge
+13.4%
Predicted Value
18.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Joel Jeffrey (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-196)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Joel Jeffrey presents a strong case for exceeding 14.5 disposals against Brisbane. His recent form, averaging 19.2 disposals in away games, coupled with facing an opponent where he averages 20 disposals, indicates his capability. With a model prediction of 18.6 disposals and a solid edge of 13.4%, Jeffrey's consistency shines through. His current hit streak of 1 away game and an impressive hit rate of 7/9 in away games further support this bet. Expect Jeffrey to continue his trend of impactful performances, making the Over 14.5 disposals a favorable wager given his recent form and matchup dynamics.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 70.0% (35/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -196 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -196 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -196 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending

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