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AFL

Joel Jeffrey

Gold Coast SUNS

+19.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 22.5 -130 (1.77)
+19.6% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 5 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
76.1%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+19.6%
Predicted Value
18.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Joel Jeffrey (Gold Coast SUNS) Under 22.5 Disposals (-130)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Joel Jeffrey, the young gun from Gold Coast Suns, is set to face a tough challenge away against Melbourne at the MCG. Recent stats show he's been solid but not spectacular, averaging 16.6 disposals in his last five away games. His contested possessions and intercepts are on the lower side, indicating a struggle against strong opposition. With a model predicting him at 18.9 disposals and a hit rate under 22.5 in three out of the last five away games, the odds favor Jeffrey falling short. Considering Melbourne's formidable midfield and defensive setup, the under on Jeffrey's disposals seems like a smart play. Bet wisely on his potential to be contained below the 22.5 mark in this clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 22.5 Under -130 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -333 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Joel Jeffrey (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (1/2). The latest model pick for Joel Jeffrey is Under 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.6% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 5 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.