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Model picks & player props
Las Vegas Aces
VS
Indiana Fever

Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 24, 11:33AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana
Indoor
Thu 6 Aug 2026, 11:06PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
100.0%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 153.5 Alt Total Points -196

The model graded 70 markets for Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $151 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 100.0% across 45 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 6 Aug 2026, 11:06PM at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win81.8%
The price says62.3%
Best price-196
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Over 153.5 High82% chance -196
Alt Total Points High80% chance
Total Points High66% chance
Alt Total Points High83% chance
Total Points High67% chance
Spread Lean60% chance
Alt Spread Lean57% chance
Spread High63% chance
Alt Total Points High84% chance
Points (Alt) × 4 props Highup to 84%
Rebounds × 7 props Highup to 85%
Points × 5 props Highup to 83%
3-Pointers (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 71%
Pts+Reb+Ast (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 77%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Over 153.5 · $100 returned $151

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 801 of 1,073 right (wnba spread calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 23
Connecticut Sun 9.5
Connecticut Sun @ Los Angeles Sparks
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $151
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Over
148.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana FeverSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana FeverAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana FeverSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana FeverSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana FeverAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas AcesAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana FeverAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana FeverAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Las Vegas Aces

  • NaLyssa Smith FOut
  • Dana Evans GOut

Indiana Fever

  • Aliyah Boston COut
Availability updated Aug 24, 12:44AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of NaLyssa Smith, Dana Evans and Aliyah Boston.
FactorThis fixture
Availability3 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Caitlin Clark IND Points (Alt)
Caitlin Clark IND Rebounds
Kelsey Mitchell IND Rebounds
Chelsea Gray LV Points (Alt)
Lexie Hull IND Points

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Las Vegas Aces @ Indiana Fever — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Las Vegas Aces at Indiana Fever — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever — recent results

Indiana Fever have won 3 of their last 5 games; Las Vegas Aces have won 3 of their last 5.

Indiana Fever — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W113–90CHIAway
L102–109NYAway
L85–91DALAway
W101–95TORAway
W95–91ATLAway
Las Vegas Aces — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W88–78TORAway
W101–78CONHome
L82–97ATLHome
L87–92MINHome
W83–76WSHHome

Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Indiana Fever won 2, Las Vegas Aces won 1.

DateIndiana FeverLas Vegas AcesWinner
Aug 68486Las Vegas Aces
Jul 1310975Indiana Fever
Jul 58468Indiana Fever

Who’s out or in doubt

3 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Indiana Fever
PlayerStatus
Aliyah Boston COUT
Las Vegas Aces
PlayerStatus
NaLyssa Smith FOUT
Dana Evans GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Las Vegas Aces @ Indiana Fever — model preview

Indiana Fever v Las Vegas Aces, 7 August 2026. Top of the list: Under 210.5 Total Points. Our model likes 5 bets in this game. Here is why, in plain English.

On Friday 7 August 2026, Indiana Fever play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 210.5 Total Points, priced at -714 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 210.5 Total Points (-714)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As the Indiana Fever prepare to host the Las Vegas Aces at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, the stage is set for a showdown that could be more defensive battle than offensive showcase. The Fever, despite their struggles this season, have been leaning heavily on their defense, often slowing the pace to control the flow of the game. Meanwhile, the Aces, while explosive on offense, have shown moments of inconsistency when facing teams that prioritize a slower tempo. With our model projecting a combined total of around 171.5 points, it's clear that both teams might find themselves in a grind-it-out scenario. The Fever will look to limit possessions, and when you factor in the Aces' tendency to tighten their defense against weaker opponents, this matchup screams "under." Expect a tactical game that keeps the score well below the 210.5 mark. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 5 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
45
Total Picks
100.0%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
06 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 152.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 151.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 150.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 149.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 148.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Alt Spread Indiana Fever +2.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Spread Indiana Fever +3.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Total Points Over 163.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Spread Indiana Fever +4.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Spread Indiana Fever +5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Total Points Over 162.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Alt Spread Indiana Fever +5.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 154.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 153.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Alt Spread Indiana Fever +3.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Aces vs Fever, or as Fever vs Aces. The most recent game between them was Thursday 6 August 2026 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 100.0% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Indiana Fever 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
6 Aug 2026Las Vegas Aces @ Indiana Fever84–86Las Vegas Aces
13 Jul 2026Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces75–109Indiana Fever
5 Jul 2026Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces68–84Indiana Fever
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