On Sunday 27 September 2026, Minnesota Lynx play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is New York Liberty +7.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
New York Liberty +7.5 on the Line (-110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Minnesota Lynx are scoring a lot lately, averaging over 91 points a game, but they've only won three of their last six games. On the other hand, the New York Liberty have been strong too, winning four of their last six. Plus, they've faced some of the toughest teams in the league, which shows they can handle pressure well. Betting on New York Liberty to win with a 7.5-point cushion feels like a solid choice. The Lynx might be at home, but our numbers suggest they're only expected to win by about three points. The biggest risk here is how close these teams are performing, so it could be a nail-biter. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 173 Total Points (-110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
At Target Center, the Minnesota Lynx are facing the New York Liberty, and both teams have shown solid form lately. The Lynx have won 6 out of their last 10 games, but they've only won 2 of their last 6. Meanwhile, the Liberty have also won 6 of their last 10, with 4 wins in their last 6 games. With both teams scoring well, but the Lynx's recent performance being a bit shaky, we might not see a high-scoring game. Our numbers suggest a combined total of about 165.5 points, which is quite a bit lower than the line set for this matchup. A major risk here is that both teams can score, so if they find their rhythm, things could change quickly. Still, with the Lynx's recent struggles and tough competition faced by the Liberty, betting on under 173 points looks promising. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Breanna Stewart Under 24.5 Points and Assists (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Breanna Stewart is a star player, but we're looking at her to score under 24.5 points and assists against the Minnesota Lynx. The Lynx have been on a good run lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring a hefty 91.3 points per game. This means they will likely keep the pressure on Stewart, making it harder for her to rack up those numbers. While Stewart has performed well both at home and away, the tough competition the New York Liberty has faced this season suggests that she might not find it easy to hit the over on this total. The most concrete risk here is that both teams are playing well, so it could be close. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Courtney Williams Under 16.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Courtney Williams has been a solid player, but the matchup against the Minnesota Lynx could be tricky for her. The Lynx have won 7 of their last 10 games and are scoring an impressive 91.3 points per game. This high-scoring environment could mean less focus on individual stats like points and rebounds for Williams, especially with the Lynx's strong defense. While she's had some good games lately, the competition's tough and the clubs she's faced have a mixed record. With this in mind, betting on her to score under 16.5 points and rebounds feels like a smart choice. The chance of her hitting that mark is pretty close, but the Lynx's recent form could make it a challenge for her. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jonquel Jones Under 24.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Jonquel Jones has been a big part of the New York Liberty's success, but she might struggle in this game. The Minnesota Lynx have been strong lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 91 points a game in their last few outings. This means they can put pressure on the Liberty, making it harder for Jones to rack up points and rebounds. While the numbers suggest a good chance for Jones to go under 24.5 combined points and rebounds, there's a real risk here. The Lynx defense could really challenge her, especially since they have been working hard to limit their opponents' scoring. With both teams on a similar winning path lately, it might be a close one, but betting on Jones to stay below that mark feels solid. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.