Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction & Picks, November 10, 2026

At Scotiabank Arena, both the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Colorado Avalanche come into this matchup with the same recent form, winning 5 of their last 10 games. The Leafs have shown they can score, and they're good at blocking shots, averaging just above the league average. While the Avalanche have a solid defense, they land fewer hits than the league average, which could lead to more open play. With both teams fairly evenly matched, the chance for goals is high. Our numbers suggest around 6.1 total goals, but the ability of both teams to find the net makes betting on over 6.5 appealing. One risk here is that both teams have been known to play tight games when it counts, so keep that in mind.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.5 3rd Period Puck Line (-161)

You can get Toronto Maple Leafs at a solid price of -161 to win the third period against the Colorado Avalanche. Our numbers think this is a good chance, especially since the Maple Leafs have been strong at home and are very competitive. They've won five of their last ten games and are also pretty good at blocking shots, averaging 14.3 per game. On the other side, the Avalanche also won five of their last ten, but they have a lower average of blocked shots and hits. The risk here is that both teams are evenly matched lately, which could lead to a tight finish. Still, with the chance of the Maple Leafs stepping up in front of their fans, this bet could pay off.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche: Toronto Maple Leafs 3rd Period 3-Way Moneyline (+185)

Betting on the Toronto Maple Leafs to win the third period at +185 looks like a smart move. They've been solid, winning 5 of their last 10 games, and they're playing at home, which can give them a nice boost. Plus, they block more shots than the Avalanche, showing they know how to defend when it counts. The Colorado Avalanche also have 5 wins in their last 10, so this matchup feels pretty even. A key risk is that the Avalanche have been known to score quickly, which might put pressure on the Leafs. Still, with Toronto's strong home performance and shot-blocking ability, they have a real chance to take the third period.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche: Gabriel Landeskog Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-102)

Gabriel Landeskog needs to get at least two shots on goal for the bet to pay off tonight. He plays for the Colorado Avalanche, who are facing the Toronto Maple Leafs. Both teams have been pretty even lately, winning five of their last ten games, so it could be a close match. Landeskog has a solid track record, and the Maple Leafs have been allowing around 14 shots to be blocked per game, which shows their defense can be tested. Even though the Avalanche have been a bit less aggressive with just under 16 hits a game, Landeskog has the chance to find openings to shoot. The biggest risk is that both teams are pretty evenly matched, so it may be tough for him to get those shots, but he's definitely got the ability to do it.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche: Nathan MacKinnon Over 4.5 Shots on Goal (+182)

The bet on Nathan MacKinnon to have over 4.5 shots on goal at odds of +182 looks promising because both teams are closely matched and can create chances. The Toronto Maple Leafs have been solid at blocking shots, averaging 14.3 per game, but MacKinnon is known for his skill in finding open space. With both the Leafs and Avalanche winning five of their last ten games, the competition should be fierce, leading to more opportunities for shots. One risk is that the Avalanche have blocked fewer shots, averaging 13.6 per game, which might help the Leafs limit MacKinnon's chances. Still, if he can get rolling early, he has a real shot at hitting that over. Playing at Scotiabank Arena, where the atmosphere can really pump up the players, could also give MacKinnon an extra boost.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche: Devon Toews Over 1.5 Goals (+10000)

For the Toronto Maple Leafs to score more than 1.5 goals tonight, they'll need to take advantage of their strong offensive play. They've won 5 of their last 10 games and have shown they can put pressure on opposing defenses. With the Avalanche blocking fewer shots than average and not hitting as much as the league norm, the Leafs should find some good chances to score. The biggest concern is that both teams have been evenly matched lately, with Colorado also winning 5 of their last 10 games. Still, with the Leafs at home and their ability to land hits and block shots, they have a solid shot at finding the net often. It seems like a fun long shot to cheer for!

That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.