Max Scherzer (TOR) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-357)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Max Scherzer for over 3.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts (Alternate) market is based on his consistent performance data. Despite his current hit streak being zero, Scherzer's strikeout averages are promising. His last five games show an overall strikeout average of 3.6, matching the line set for this bet. However, his performance significantly improves when considering his last five games against the Brewers, with an average of 6 strikeouts. This is a clear indication of his ability to outperform the set line. Additionally, Scherzer's home game data strengthens the rationale for this bet. His strikeout average in home games is 6.5, well above the line. This demonstrates Scherzer's comfort and effectiveness when playing at home. Therefore, betting on Scherzer to achieve over 3.5 strikeouts is a good choice based on his historical performance against the Brewers and his stronger home game statistics.

Sal Frelick (MIL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-714)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Sal Frelick for under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Frelick's last five games show an average of 0.4 stolen bases overall and just 0.2 when playing away. This suggests he is less likely to steal bases in away games. Moreover, his record against the Blue Jays is even less impressive, with no stolen bases in the last five matchups. Additionally, the average number of times he's been caught stealing in the last five games is low, indicating he's not taking many risks on the base paths. Furthermore, his current hit streak doesn't significantly increase his chances of stealing bases. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's statistically likely that Frelick will have under 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game against the Blue Jays.

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