SYSTEM STATUS: Online WIN: WON: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (Chicago White Sox -1.5 @ +323) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2 @ +220) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1.5 @ +270) TREND: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1118.8 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.3% over 30 days WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +129) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1 @ +525) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.8% over 30 days WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1.5 @ +164) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1155.9 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +421.9 units this season WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers @ +566) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners @ +430) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.7% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1 @ +290) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +118) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season RESULT: WON: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (Chicago White Sox -1.5 @ +323) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2 @ +220) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1.5 @ +270) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1118.8 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.3% over 30 days RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +129) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1 @ +525) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.8% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1.5 @ +164) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1155.9 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +421.9 units this season RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers @ +566) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners @ +430) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.7% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1 @ +290) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +118) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season
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MLB

Chad Patrick

MIL

+22.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 3.5 -154 (1.65)
+22.1% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays @ Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee
Thu 16 Apr, 5:40PM
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.7%
Implied Probability
60.6%
Model Edge
+22.1%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Chad Patrick (MIL) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Brewers host the Blue Jays, all eyes will be on Chad Patrick, who’s shown some impressive upside but faces a challenging lineup today. The Jays have been swinging hot bats lately, ranking among the top teams in contact percentage. They’ve consistently put pressure on pitchers, making it tough to rack up strikeouts. In his recent outings, Patrick has struggled to find that strikeout rhythm, averaging just over two K’s per game, which bodes well for the 'Under 3.5' play. Given the Jays’ prowess in making contact, combined with Patrick’s recent strikeout numbers, it’s tough to envision him surpassing that mark today. With the stakes high and the bats lively, expect a focus on ball-in-play rather than punchouts. The trend is clear, and the matchup leans in favor of a low-strikeout affair, making the 'Under' a sound choice for this one.

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Pick History & Track Record

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About This Player

Chad Patrick (MIL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chad Patrick is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.1% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday 16 April at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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