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The latest Bet Better model pick for Chad Patrick is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 49%, for a model edge of +29.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 6, 3:20PM UTC
MLB

Chad Patrick

MIL

+29.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 +105 (2.05)
+29.1% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays @ Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin · Indoor
Thu 16 Apr, 5:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
77.8%
Implied Probability
48.8%
Model Edge
+29.1%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks77.8%48.8%1.28+29.1%

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AI Analysis

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Chad Patrick (MIL) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Brewers host the Blue Jays, all eyes will be on Chad Patrick, who’s been nothing short of spectacular on the mound. In his last few starts, he’s showcased pinpoint control, consistently limiting walks to a remarkable average. With an impressive strikeout-to-walk ratio, he seems to thrive under pressure, making it tough for hitters to draw free passes. The Blue Jays' lineup, while potent, has struggled against pitchers with similar profiles lately, often swinging early in counts. Moreover, Patrick's ability to keep hitters off balance could easily play into the narrative of him staying under 1.5 walks allowed. With the Brewers' strong defensive support behind him, it’s hard to envision a scenario where he falters, especially at home where he’s been even more dominant. Look for Patrick to continue his trend and keep that walk total low as the Brewers look to secure a crucial victory.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Chad Patrick (MIL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chad Patrick is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.1% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday 16 April at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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