Here are our NBA picks for Thursday 5 November 2026. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Yaxel Lendeborg (Golden State Warriors) Under 25.5 Points + Rebounds, priced at +125 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Yaxel Lendeborg (Golden State Warriors) Under 25.5 Points + Rebounds (+125)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Golden State Warriors play Miami Heat in the NBA on Friday 6 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Yaxel Lendeborg (Golden State Warriors) Under 25.5 Points + Rebounds. It was priced at +125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Yaxel Lendeborg (Golden State Warriors) Under 28.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (+145)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Golden State Warriors play Miami Heat in the NBA on Friday 6 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Yaxel Lendeborg (Golden State Warriors) Under 28.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists. It was priced at +145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Will Richard (Golden State Warriors) Under 4.5 Points (+205)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Golden State Warriors play Miami Heat in the NBA on Friday 6 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Will Richard (Golden State Warriors) Under 4.5 Points. It was priced at +205 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $30.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Bam Adebayo (Miami Heat) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-161)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Golden State Warriors play Miami Heat in the NBA on Friday 6 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Bam Adebayo (Miami Heat) Under 1.5 Threes Made. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds correct at time of publishing
Phoenix Suns play Orlando Magic in the NBA on Friday 6 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tristan da Silva (Orlando Magic) Under 2.5 Threes Made. It was priced at -128 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the model's read on today's NBA card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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