Here are our EPL picks for Saturday 7 November 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Lucas Herrington (Hull City) Over 0.5 Shots, priced at +280 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Lucas Herrington (Hull City) Over 0.5 Shots (+280)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Arsenal prepares to host Hull City, all eyes should be on Lucas Herrington to break out of his recent slump. While his recent away form shows a modest average of 0.2 shots, this clash offers a ripe opportunity for him to exceed that number. Arsenal's high possession style is likely to stretch Hull's defense, creating openings for Herrington. With Hull expected to defend deep, Herrington's knack for finding space could see him take at least one shot, especially as he looks to regain confidence after a quiet spell. What's crucial here is that the matchup suggests a favorable environment-an away game against a team like Arsenal often invites players to seize the moment. With a hit rate of just 33% in the last three matches, Herrington is due for an uptick. If he channels his aggression, hitting the Over on 0.5 shots feels not just plausible, but likely.
Diego Rico (Osasuna) Over 0.5 Shots on Target (+950)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Athletic Bilbao prepares to face CA Osasuna, all eyes should be on Diego Rico to take a shot at the Over 0.5 on-target market. While his recent form might not scream confidence-averaging just 0.4 shots in away games-this matchup presents a unique opportunity. Osasuna's defense has shown vulnerability at home, often allowing opposing full-backs to exploit the flanks. Rico, known for his attacking instincts, is likely to find space to unleash a shot or two. Moreover, with Athletic's need for a crucial away win, we can expect Rico to push forward more aggressively. As the game unfolds, don't be surprised if Rico steps up and takes advantage of the opportunities that arise.
Dimitri Foulquier (Valencia) Over 1.5 Shots (+1100)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Valencia prepares to host Real Madrid, all eyes could be on Dimitri Foulquier for a hidden gem in the player shots market. While his recent averages might suggest a quiet outing, there's more than meets the eye. Foulquier's role as a right-back means he often finds himself in advanced positions, especially in critical clashes like this one. The match against Real Madrid is bound to be intense, pushing Valencia to attack and stretch the Madrid defense. Historically, such high-stakes matches spur players to step up, and Foulquier's attacking instincts could just ignite at home, making this a compelling bet to consider. It's a risk worth taking as he looks to break out from his current slump.
Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) Yes To Be Carded (+1800)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Arsenal gears up to host Hull City, all eyes will be on Eberechi Eze. While his recent stats show a clean slate with no cards in his last five outings-averaging just 0.4 fouls per match-there's more to this game than meets the eye. Eze thrives in tight spaces, and against a high-pressing Arsenal side, he may find himself in situations where he has to take one for the team. The Gunners' relentless attacking play means Eze could be tasked with disrupting their flow, leading to more fouls than his average suggests. Additionally, with the home crowd's energy ramping up the intensity, it's easy to envision a scenario where Eze finds himself booked for a tactical foul. At a price of 19, the potential reward is enticing, especially considering the unpredictability of Premier League clashes. Eze may just surprise us when it comes to keeping his cool under pressure.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Brentford heads to the Amex to face Brighton, Nathan Collins might just be the dark horse in this matchup. While his recent form shows a modest average of 1.2 shots overall, his away average is even lower at 0.8. However, with the Bees likely to adopt a more aggressive approach, he could see more opportunities. Brighton's defensive setup tends to invite pressure, and Collins, stepping up into the attack, could capitalize on this. Historically, he has shown flashes of being involved in the build-up play, and with the game likely to open up, it's plausible he could notch at least three attempts. Plus, given the betting line at 2.5 shots, this could be an enticing value play. Keep an eye on Collins; he might just surprise us and deliver a performance that surpasses expectations.
Michael Kayode (Brentford) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+2500)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Michael Kayode might not seem like the obvious choice for an anytime goalscorer, especially with a recent form that reads more like a blank slate. But let's not overlook the hidden potential here. Brentford's away game against Brighton represents a chance for Kayode to break out. While his recent numbers show no goals and a mere 0.2 shots per game, this matchup could shift the narrative. Brighton's defense has shown vulnerabilities, and a player like Kayode, who thrives on opportunistic chances, may just find the right moment to strike. The odds of 26 suggest that the market hasn't fully grasped the unpredictability of this matchup. In a league where surprises are commonplace, Kayode's potential to pop up in the right place at the right time shouldn't be underestimated. Sometimes, it's those quiet players in the background who produce the unexpected. Keep an eye on him; the value is certainly intriguing.
That is the model's read on today's EPL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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