Today's Tennis Best Bets - Our Top 6 Picks

Here are our Tennis picks for Thursday 5 November 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Carlos Alcaraz to win the match, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz: Carlos Alcaraz to win the match (-588)

Matteo Berrettini faces Carlos Alcaraz at Paris Masters on Thursday 5 November 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Carlos Alcaraz wins the match. It was priced at -588 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.70 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Carlos Alcaraz is the favorite to win against Matteo Berrettini because he has been playing really well recently, winning almost all of his last matches. His serve is strong, with a high percentage of first serves and points won on those serves. Plus, the hard court surface suits his style of play. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech: Ben Shelton to win the match (-286)

Ben Shelton faces Arthur Rinderknech at Paris Masters on Thursday 5 November 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Ben Shelton wins the match. It was priced at -286 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.50 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Ben Shelton is favored to win against Arthur Rinderknech because he has shown strong recent form, winning 40% of his last five matches. Shelton has a solid first-serve percentage of 70% and wins about 76% of his first-serve points, which gives him a big advantage on hard courts. Rinderknech has been less consistent, making Shelton the better pick. Remember to bet only what you can afford to lose.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche: Lorenzo Musetti to win the match (-263)

Lorenzo Musetti faces Luca Van Assche at Paris Masters on Thursday 5 November 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Lorenzo Musetti wins the match. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Lorenzo Musetti is favored to win against Luca Van Assche due to his strong recent form, winning 80% of his last five matches. He has a solid serve, winning over 68% of his first serve points and 62% of his second serve points on hard courts. Musetti's performance on this surface has been impressive, making him a tough opponent. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud: Casper Ruud to win the match (-185)

Jan-Lennard Struff faces Casper Ruud at Paris Masters on Thursday 5 November 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Casper Ruud wins the match. It was priced at -185 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.40 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. Casper Ruud is the favorite because he's been playing well lately, winning 70% of his last ten matches. His serve is strong, with a first-serve success rate of about 68%, helping him win many points. Since the match is on hard court, which suits his game, he has a good chance to perform well. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse: Nuno Borges to win the match (-161)

Nuno Borges faces Ignacio Buse at Paris Masters on Thursday 5 November 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Nuno Borges wins the match. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.20 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. Nuno Borges is the favorite to win against Ignacio Buse because he has been playing well recently, winning 60% of his last five matches. He has a strong serve, winning about 71% of his first serves, which is impressive on hard courts. These factors make him a solid pick for this match. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry: Tomas Martin Etcheverry to win the match (-128)

Rinky Hijikata faces Tomas Martin Etcheverry at Paris Masters on Thursday 5 November 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Tomas Martin Etcheverry wins the match. It was priced at -128 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.80 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. Tomas Martin Etcheverry is favored to win against Rinky Hijikata because he has been performing well recently, with a strong first-serve percentage and a good ability to win points on his serve. On hard courts, he has shown solid skills, making him a tough opponent. Remember to bet only what you can afford to lose.

That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.