Here are our Tennis picks for Thursday 5 November 2026. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Carlos Alcaraz to win the match, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz: Carlos Alcaraz to win the match (-588)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Matteo Berrettini faces Carlos Alcaraz at Paris Masters on Thursday 5 November 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Carlos Alcaraz wins the match. It was priced at -588 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.70 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Carlos Alcaraz is the favorite to win against Matteo Berrettini because he has been playing really well recently, winning almost all of his last matches. His serve is strong, with a high percentage of first serves and points won on those serves. Plus, the hard court surface suits his style of play. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud: Casper Ruud to win the match (-185)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Jan-Lennard Struff faces Casper Ruud at Paris Masters on Thursday 5 November 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Casper Ruud wins the match. It was priced at -185 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.40 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. Casper Ruud is the favorite because he's been playing well lately, winning 70% of his last ten matches. His serve is strong, with a first-serve success rate of about 68%, helping him win many points. Since the match is on hard court, which suits his game, he has a good chance to perform well. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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