Today's EPL Best Bets: Picks, Predictions and Odds

As we look ahead to the clash between Bragantino-SP and Cruzeiro, one can’t help but feel that Cruzeiro is primed for a solid performance. Their recent away form is impressive, boasting a 3-0-2 record in their last five matches. They've shown a knack for scoring, averaging 1.6 goals on the road while holding opponents to just 1.4—a testament to their defensive tenacity. Moreover, their attacking stats reveal a creative spark, generating an average of 13.8 shots per game, with 5 of those hitting the target. While Bragantino can be tricky at home, the cumulative xG numbers suggest that Cruzeiro's offensive fluidity could tilt the scales in their favor. Given their current momentum and the fact that they've been able to keep things tight defensively, backing Cruzeiro in the Draw No Bet market feels like the right call. They have the form and confidence to secure at least a point, if not more.

Real Betis vs Barcelona: Real Betis +1 Goal Handicap (+130)

As Real Betis prepares to host Barcelona, the scene is set for a tantalizing clash. Betis has been a fortress at home lately, going unbeaten in their last five matches there, boasting a perfect record of 5-0-0. They've averaged a solid 1.4 goals while stifling opponents to just 0.4, showcasing their defensive resilience. Conversely, while Barcelona has been flying high, racking up five straight wins, their last encounters with Betis have been tougher than expected, with Betis holding them to a couple of draws. The home side’s knack for creating chances—17 shots per game recently—could translate into a surprise result. With Barcelona's slight inconsistency, taking Betis with a +1 handicap seems a savvy play. This matchup could very well hinge on Betis's home advantage and their impressive recent form.

Sassuolo vs AC Milan: Over 7.5 Total Corners (-159)

When Sassuolo hosts AC Milan, the corner flag is likely to see plenty of action. Sassuolo's home matches have averaged around 2.6 corners in their last five games, with an impressive 17.2 shots per match. Their attacking play, coupled with a tendency to win corners, sets a robust foundation for the 'Over 7.5' corners bet. On the other side, AC Milan’s recent away outings have also seen a steady flow of corners, averaging 2.4 per game, and they bring a potent attacking line that can stretch defenses. With both teams exchanging an average of 11.4 fouls each, this could lead to many set pieces and corner opportunities. Given the strength of both offenses and their current form, expecting over 7.5 corners feels like a smart play in what should be a thrilling encounter.

Hull City vs Everton: Hull City +0.75 Goal Handicap (-196)

As Hull City prepares to face Everton, the home side has shown promising form, especially at the MKM Stadium. In their last five home games, they’ve maintained a solid record, with a 3-2-0 mark, while conceding a mere 0.2 goals per game. Their defensive solidity, combined with an uptick in their attacking output—averaging 1.2 goals and generating a respectable number of shots—paints a picture of a team that knows how to grind out results. On the flip side, Everton has struggled on the road, failing to secure a win in their last five away matches. With their attack averaging just 0.8 goals and facing a Hull defense that’s been stingy, the odds favor Hull to extend their unbeaten home run. Given these trends and the home advantage, backing Hull City at -0.75 seems like a savvy play in this matchup.

Elche CF vs Celta Vigo: Over 9.5 Total Corners (+162)

As Elche CF prepares to host Celta Vigo, the corner flag could see a busy afternoon. Celta’s recent away games have been peppered with set pieces, averaging over 2.4 corners in their last five fixtures alone. Despite a shaky record on the road, where they've managed just one win, their propensity to push forward has resulted in a notable average of 12.2 shots per game. Meanwhile, Elche's defense has been porous, allowing 1.4 goals per game and generating a flurry of corners themselves. With both sides desperate to seize points, we can expect a frantic pace. The combination of Celta's attacking intent and Elche's defensive woes makes the over 9.5 corners market tantalizing. The trends suggest plenty of action at the flanks, setting the stage for a corner count that comfortably surpasses that line.

That is the model's read on today's EPL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.