Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks

On Sunday 11 October 2026, Chelsea play Tottenham Hotspur in the EPL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur: Over 1.5 Total Goals (-588)

As Chelsea welcomes Tottenham to Stamford Bridge, the stage is set for a high-scoring encounter. Chelsea has averaged an impressive 2.8 goals per game at home over their last five matches, while they've consistently found the net against Spurs, scoring in every meeting since 2021. Their attacking prowess is underscored by a solid expected goals (xG) average, reflecting their ability to create quality chances. On the flip side, Tottenham has struggled recently, netting just 0.8 goals away from home in their last five outings. However, with the rivalry factor and Chelsea's leaky defense, allowing 2.0 goals per game at home, the opportunity for goals remains ripe. Given Chelsea's trend of scoring and their favorable record against Spurs, betting on over 1.5 total goals feels like a smart play in this thrilling London derby. Expect fireworks!

That is how our model reads Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.