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Model picks & player props
Madison Keys
VS
Marta Kostyuk

Madison Keys vs Marta Kostyuk Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 5, 2:08PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

Tennis
Fri 7 Aug 2026, 7:00PM
14
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 22 (Total Games)
For Madison Keys vs Marta Kostyuk (Tennis), model win probability 60.9%, fair odds 2.01, book price -106, model edge +11.0%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Fri 7 Aug 2026, 7:00PM.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Games
Under
22
-106
+ 13 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Madison KeysGame HandicapPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Madison KeysGame HandicapPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Madison KeysSet 1 WinnerPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Madison KeysSet 2 WinnerPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Madison KeysGame HandicapPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Madison KeysGame HandicapPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Madison Keys

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Marta Kostyuk

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Madison Keys vs Marta Kostyuk: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

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Betting angles

5 markets live
Total GamesNext match · Marta Kostyuk vs Madison KeysUnder 22 -106
61%model under %
2.01fair price
PickUnder 22Model60.9%Fair2.01Odds-106ConfidenceLEAN

Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys — Total Games (tennis). A line is currently posted: Under 22 at -106, fair price 2.01; our model makes it 60.9% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapNext match · Marta Kostyuk vs Madison KeysMadison Keys 0.5 +108
55%model cover %
2.16fair price
PickMadison Keys 0.5Model55.2%Fair2.16Odds+108ConfidenceLEAN

Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys — Game Handicap (tennis). A line is currently posted: Madison Keys 0.5 at +108, fair price 2.16; our model makes it 55.2% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerNext match · Marta Kostyuk vs Madison KeysMadison Keys set 1 +110
53%model win %
2.23fair price
PickMadison Keys set 1Model53.4%Fair2.23Odds+110ConfidenceLEAN

Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys — Set 1 Winner (tennis). A line is currently posted: Madison Keys set 1 at +110, fair price 2.23; our model makes it 53.4% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerNext match · Marta Kostyuk vs Madison KeysMadison Keys set 2 +110
53%model win %
2.23fair price
PickMadison Keys set 2Model53.4%Fair2.23Odds+110ConfidenceLEAN

Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys — Set 2 Winner (tennis). A line is currently posted: Madison Keys set 2 at +110, fair price 2.23; our model makes it 53.4% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesNext match · Marta Kostyuk vs Madison KeysUnder 12.5 -833
86%model under %
1.23fair price
PickUnder 12.5Model86.5%Fair1.23Odds-833ConfidenceHIGH

Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). A line is currently posted: Under 12.5 at -833, fair price 1.23; our model makes it 86.5% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Madison Keys vs Marta Kostyuk in the Tennis. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Friday 7 August 2026. The model has generated 14 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

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