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Model picks & player props
Madison Keys
VS
Sara Bejlek

Madison Keys vs Sara Bejlek Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 30, 7:52AM UTC

Our model graded 21 markets for Madison Keys vs Sara Bejlek and backs Under 23.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $158.

Tennis
Fri 21 Aug 2026, 5:00PM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
66.7%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 23.5 Total Games -172

The model graded 21 markets for Madison Keys vs Sara Bejlek (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $158 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 66.7% across 21 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 21 Aug 2026, 5:00PM.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win64.4%
The price says58.9%
Best price-172
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Games Under 23.5 High64% chance -172
Total Games Members only Lean60% chance Members
Set 2 Total Games Members only High81% chance Members
Set 1 Total Games Members only High97% chance Members
Set 1 Winner Members only Long-shot32% chance Members
Set 2 Winner Members only Long-shot32% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot39% chance Members
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 67% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Madison Keys and Sara Bejlek last met on Fri 21 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Sara Bejlek · $100 returned $256

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Games
Under
21.5
-110
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 58,455+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sara BejlekSet 1 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sara BejlekSet 2 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sara BejlekSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sara BejlekSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sara BejlekSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sara BejlekSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Madison Keys

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Sara Bejlek

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Madison Keys vs Sara Bejlek: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Moneyline

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesSara Bejlek vs Madison KeysNo line posted
69%model under %
1.70fair price
PickUnder 23.5Model69.1%Fair1.70Odds-172

Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 23.5 at -172, fair price 1.70; our model makes it 69.1% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapSara Bejlek vs Madison KeysNo line posted
2.22fair price
PickSara Bejlek 3Model48.1%Fair2.22Odds+114

Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Sara Bejlek 3 at +114, fair price 2.22; our model makes it 48.1% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesSara Bejlek vs Madison KeysNo line posted
96%model over %
1.10fair price
PickOver 6.5Model96.3%Fair1.10Odds-5000

Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Over 6.5 at -5000, fair price 1.10; our model makes it 96.3% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerSara Bejlek vs Madison KeysNo line posted
2.77fair price
PickSara Bejlek set 1Model41.0%Fair2.77Odds+160

Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys — Set 1 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Sara Bejlek set 1 at +160, fair price 2.77; our model makes it 41.0% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerSara Bejlek vs Madison KeysNo line posted
2.67fair price
PickSara Bejlek set 2Model41.0%Fair2.67Odds+156

Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys — Set 2 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Sara Bejlek set 2 at +156, fair price 2.67; our model makes it 41.0% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Madison Keys @ Sara Bejlek — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Madison Keys at Sara Bejlek — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 5 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
21
Total Picks
66.7%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
21 Aug 26 Set 2 Total Games Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Set 2 Total Games Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Set 2 Total Games Over 8.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Set 2 Total Games Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Under 10.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Under 12.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Set 2 Winner Sara Bejlek ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Set 1 Winner Sara Bejlek ✗ MISS
21 Aug 26 Spread Sara Bejlek +4 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Spread Sara Bejlek +2.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Spread Sara Bejlek +3.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Spread Sara Bejlek +3 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Total Games Under 21.5 ✗ MISS
21 Aug 26 Total Games Under 24.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Madison Keys vs Sara Bejlek in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Keys vs Bejlek, or as Bejlek vs Keys. The most recent game between them was Friday 21 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 66.7% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 1 meeting
Sara Bejlek 1–0 across the last meeting
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
21 Aug 2026Sara Bejlek3-6 6-4 7-6Western & Southern Financial Group Women's Open · QuarterfinalsHard
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