Tennis
Alex de Minaur
Alex de Minaur play Mariano Navone at home on Thu 1 Oct, and our model’s free pick for that game is below with every past Alex de Minaur pick graded underneath it.
Next Game:
vs Mariano Navone (Home)
Thu 1 Oct, 2:00AM
Model updated Sep 30, 9:02AM UTC
Answer
The Alex de Minaur model is leaning the over in the Total Games market vs Mariano Navone.
model hit rate 64.7% across 102 settled Alex de Minaur picks · the full numbers on every bet unlock with a subscription.
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| Market | Model output |
|---|
| Spread | With Pro |
| Total Games | With Pro |
The model has graded 2 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.
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Player availability is not tracked for Tennis. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.
Betting angles
2 markets liveGame HandicapNext match · vs Mariano NavoneMariano Navone 4.5 +110 58%model cover %
2.26fair price
PickMariano Navone 4.5Model57.6%Fair2.26Odds+110ConfidenceLEAN
Alex de Minaur — Game Handicap (tennis). A line is currently posted: Mariano Navone 4.5 at +110, fair price 2.26; our model makes it 57.6% (LEAN). vs Mariano Navone. BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.
Total GamesNext match · vs Mariano NavoneOver 20 -127 56%model over %
1.86fair price
PickOver 20Model55.6%Fair1.86Odds-127ConfidenceLEANFree board17-11
Free board · recent overs and unders12 / 12 recent
Alex de Minaur — Total Games (tennis). A line is currently posted: Over 20 at -127, fair price 1.86; our model makes it 55.6% (LEAN). vs Mariano Navone. On our free board this total games call has landed 17 of 28 times in matches involving Alex de Minaur.
Set 1 Total GamesLatest tracked · vs Botic van de ZandschulpNo line posted 75%model over %
1.49fair price
PickOver 8.5Model75.0%Fair1.49Odds-278Free board21-3
Free board · recent overs and unders11 / 12 recent
Alex de Minaur — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Over 8.5 at -278, fair price 1.49; our model makes it 75.0% (HIGH). vs Botic van de Zandschulp. On our free board this set 1 total games call has landed 21 of 24 times in matches involving Alex de Minaur.
Set 1 Game HandicapLatest tracked · vs Arthur FilsNo line posted 68%model cover %
1.98fair price
PickAlex de Minaur 1.5Model67.6%Fair1.98Odds-120
Alex de Minaur — Set 1 Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alex de Minaur 1.5 at -120, fair price 1.98; our model makes it 67.6% (HIGH). vs Arthur Fils. BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.
Set 1 WinnerLatest tracked · vs Arthur FilsNo line posted 59%model win %
2.58fair price
PickAlex de Minaur set 1Model58.5%Fair2.58Odds+143
Alex de Minaur — Set 1 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alex de Minaur set 1 at +143, fair price 2.58; our model makes it 58.5% (LEAN). vs Arthur Fils. BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.
Set 2 WinnerLatest tracked · vs Arthur FilsNo line posted 59%model win %
2.53fair price
PickAlex de Minaur set 2Model58.5%Fair2.53Odds+138
Alex de Minaur — Set 2 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alex de Minaur set 2 at +138, fair price 2.53; our model makes it 58.5% (LEAN). vs Arthur Fils. BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.
Alex de Minaur are tracked by the Bet Better model across Tennis games. The model has hit at a rate of 64.7% on tracked Alex de Minaur picks. The market where Alex de Minaur picks have landed most often is Set 2 Total Games (94% hit) — a hit rate, not a measure of profit. Their next game is against Mariano Navone on Thursday 1 October. Use the data above to inform your Tennis betting decisions for Alex de Minaur.