Tennis
Alex de Minaur
Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.
Next Game:
vs Brandon Nakashima (Home)
Fri 31 Jul, 6:00PM
Model updated Jul 31, 3:53PM UTC
Answer
The Alex de Minaur model is leaning the under in the Total Games market vs Brandon Nakashima.
exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.
Free pick — today's headline game edge
You're seeing today's free headline pick. Unlock the full model write-up, every other game market and all player props for this team.
Unlock full analysis
Cancel anytime.
| Market | Model output |
|---|
| Total Games | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Set 2 Total Games | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Set 1 Total Games | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Game Handicap | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Set 1 Total Games | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Set 2 Winner | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Set 1 Winner | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
Full model-edge table — 7 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.
Unlock full edge tableCancel anytime.
Player availability is not tracked for Tennis. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
| Date | Opponent | Market | Pick | Result |
|---|
Betting angles
5 markets liveTotal GamesNext match · vs Brandon NakashimaUnder 23 -110+8.8% edge 59%model under %
1.97de-vig fair odds
PickUnder 23Model59.4%Fair1.97Odds-110Edge+8.8%
Alex de Minaur — Total Games (tennis). A line is currently posted: Under 23 at -110, de-vig fair 1.97; model probability 59.4%, a +8.8% model edge. vs Brandon Nakashima. BetBetter tracks this market continuously; a settled hit record appears once the sample is large enough.
Game HandicapNext match · vs Brandon NakashimaAlex de Minaur -2.5 -101+3.3% edge 52%model cover %
2.06de-vig fair odds
PickAlex de Minaur -2.5Model51.8%Fair2.06Odds-101Edge+3.3%
Alex de Minaur — Game Handicap (tennis). A line is currently posted: Alex de Minaur -2.5 at -101, de-vig fair 2.06; model probability 51.8%, a +3.3% model edge. vs Brandon Nakashima. BetBetter tracks this market continuously; a settled hit record appears once the sample is large enough.
Set 1 WinnerNext match · vs Brandon NakashimaBrandon Nakashima set 1 +135+1.4% edge 2.50de-vig fair odds
PickBrandon Nakashima set 1Model41.4%Fair2.50Odds+135Edge+1.4%
Alex de Minaur — Set 1 Winner (tennis). A line is currently posted: Brandon Nakashima set 1 at +135, de-vig fair 2.50; model probability 41.4%, a +1.4% model edge. vs Brandon Nakashima. BetBetter tracks this market continuously; a settled hit record appears once the sample is large enough.
Set 2 WinnerNext match · vs Brandon NakashimaBrandon Nakashima set 2 +138+1.9% edge 2.53de-vig fair odds
PickBrandon Nakashima set 2Model41.4%Fair2.53Odds+138Edge+1.9%
Alex de Minaur — Set 2 Winner (tennis). A line is currently posted: Brandon Nakashima set 2 at +138, de-vig fair 2.53; model probability 41.4%, a +1.9% model edge. vs Brandon Nakashima. BetBetter tracks this market continuously; a settled hit record appears once the sample is large enough.
Set 1 Total GamesNext match · vs Brandon NakashimaOver 7.5 -2500+4.1% edge 93%model over %
1.13de-vig fair odds
PickOver 7.5Model93.0%Fair1.13Odds-2500Edge+4.1%
Alex de Minaur — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). A line is currently posted: Over 7.5 at -2500, de-vig fair 1.13; model probability 93.0%, a +4.1% model edge. vs Brandon Nakashima. BetBetter tracks this market continuously; a settled hit record appears once the sample is large enough.
Alex de Minaur are tracked by the Bet Better model across Tennis games. Their next game is against Brandon Nakashima on Friday 31 July. Use the data above to inform your Tennis betting decisions for Alex de Minaur.