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Soccer

Ricardo Mangas

Bordeaux

Value call

Ricardo Mangas (Bordeaux) has one live pick today: over 2.5 shots that pays $2,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
7 in 100
Predicted
1.0 shots
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 7.4% · before adjusting for past results 9.9% · the book's price implies 4.8% · gap +2.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Monza @ Lazio
Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Lazio · Outdoor
Sun 11 Oct, 3:00 PM CEST
Ricardo Mangas
over 2.5 shots
Shots Over 2.5 +2000 (21.00) · $100→$2,100
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 7 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$210.00 Odds+2000
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ricardo Mangas is Over 2.5 on Shots.
On Shots, our numbers say this bet wins about 7 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 7%, the price says 5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Oct 13, 3:54PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer total goals overs: +$2,112 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots9.9%7.4%4.8%13.47+5.2%

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AI Analysis

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Ricardo Mangas (Monza) Over 2.5 Shots (+2000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Monza takes the field against Lazio, keep an eye on Ricardo Mangas to find his shooting boots. While his recent stats might suggest a quiet streak, the dynamics of this matchup could play right into his hands. Lazio's defense has shown vulnerabilities this season, allowing opportunities that could ignite a player like Mangas. Despite averaging only 0.8 shots away, the context here is crucial. With Lazio likely pushing for a win at home, Mangas will have the opportunity to exploit gaps in the defense. The game’s tempo could favor attacking movements, especially for an away player looking to make an impact. If he can muster just a couple of shots early, getting to over 2.5 becomes very plausible. This is a classic case of the right player in the right situation, making Mangas a tantalizing option for a prop bet that could pay off handsomely.

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Pick History & Track Record

Ricardo Mangas — 2022 season

Ricardo Mangas scored 3 goals with 1 assist in 29 Ligue 1 appearances for Bordeaux in the 2022 season, from 17 shots (5 on target) and an expected-goals total of 1.7.

3
Goals
1
Assists
1.7
xG
17
Shots
5
On target
16
Key passes
29
Apps
2353
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Monza @ Lazio Shots — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ricardo Mangas (Bordeaux) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ricardo Mangas is Over 2.5 on Shots. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.2% on this pick. Their next game is Monza vs Lazio on Sunday 11 October at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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