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Model picks & player props
Genoa
VS
Cagliari

Genoa vs Cagliari Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 3:48PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

Soccer
Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Outdoor
Sat 22 Nov 2025, 2:00PM
8
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Cagliari (Moneyline)
The model graded 8 markets for Genoa vs Cagliari (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $275 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 52.9%, fair odds 1.89, book price +175, model edge +16.5%. Tip-off Sat 22 Nov 2025, 2:00PM at Unipol Domus.
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Yes · $100 returned $210

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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Cagliari
+175
+ 7 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
CagliariHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
CagliariHead to Head 3-WayPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScorePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
CagliariDraw No BetPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Genoa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Cagliari

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Genoa vs Cagliari: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineGenoa @ CagliariNo line posted
1-2-5past meetings (last 8)
Draw51%Home form5-4-11Away form6-6-8
past meetings, home wins1 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Cagliari have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 5; the model reads Cagliari's win chance at 19% for this fixture. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Draw No BetGenoa @ CagliariNo line posted
1-2-5past meetings (last 8)
Home GF/g1.1Away GF/g1.0

Cagliari to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 26%. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreGenoa @ CagliariNo line posted
60%both teams score %
4 / 8past meetings, both scored
Cagliari60%Genoa50%Free board16-12
past meetings, both scored4 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 60% of Cagliari's and 50% of Genoa's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsGenoa @ CagliariNo line posted
4 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.560%Away ov2.535%past meetings avg2.5
past meetings, over 2.54 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.5 goals, over 2.5 in 4 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Genoa @ Cagliari — what the model found

Our model graded 8 betting markets for Genoa at Cagliari — 8 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

8
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 8 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 7 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Genoa @ Cagliari — model preview

Latest Serie A betting preview: Cagliari vs Genoa. Get predictions and top picks. Featuring picks like NA player props. Keywords: same game parlay, SGP picks, Serie A parlay odds, soccer parlay.

Cagliari vs Genoa: Both Teams To Score: Yes (+110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Both Teams to Score (BTTS) bet for the Cagliari vs Genoa game is a good choice based on the teams' scoring records. In the last five games, both teams have consistently scored, with Cagliari averaging 1 goal per game and Genoa 0.8. At home, Cagliari's scoring average increases to 1.4. Even though Genoa's away scoring average is slightly lower at 0.6, their Expected Goals (xG) is higher at 0.92, indicating they create enough chances to score. Moreover, both teams have conceded goals in their last five games, with Cagliari's opponents averaging 1.38 xG and Genoa's 1.04. This shows that both teams are susceptible to allowing goals. Based on these statistics, the probability of both teams scoring is high, making the BTTS bet a reasonable choice.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
22 Nov 25 Moneyline Cagliari ✗ MISS
22 Nov 25 Both Teams to Score Yes ✓ HIT
22 Nov 25 Head to Head (3-Way) Cagliari ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Genoa vs Cagliari in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Saturday 22 November 2025 at Unipol Domus. The model has generated 8 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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