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Model picks & player props
Fiorentina
VS
Bologna

Fiorentina vs Bologna Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 5:31PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Outdoor
Sun 18 Jan 2026, 2:00PM
3
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Fiorentina Head to Head (3-Way) +215

The model graded 3 markets for Fiorentina vs Bologna (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $315 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 18 Jan 2026, 2:00PM at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win49.8%
The price says31.7%
Best price+215
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Head to Head (3-Way) Fiorentina Lean50% chance +215
Moneyline Lean50% chance —
Draw No Bet High65% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Fiorentina · $100 returned $315

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 34 of 77 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Frosinone
Frosinone @ Fiorentina
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $420
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Head to Head (3-Way)
Fiorentina
+215
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
FiorentinaHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
FiorentinaMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BolognaDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Fiorentina

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Bologna

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Fiorentina vs Bologna: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineFiorentina @ BolognaNo line posted
4-1-3past meetings (last 8)
Draw31%Fiorentina50%Home form9-7-4Away form8-4-8
past meetings, home wins4 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Bologna have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 3. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreFiorentina @ BolognaNo line posted
60%both teams score %
5 / 8past meetings, both scored
Bologna60%Fiorentina55%Free board23-10
past meetings, both scored5 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 60% of Bologna's and 55% of Fiorentina's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsFiorentina @ BolognaNo line posted
5 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.550%Away ov2.565%past meetings avg3.0
past meetings, over 2.55 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.0 goals, over 2.5 in 5 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Fiorentina @ Bologna — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for Fiorentina at Bologna — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Fiorentina @ Bologna — model preview

Winning soccer bets for Bologna vs Fiorentina? We break down Serie A odds and insights. Featuring picks like NA player props. Explore same game parlay, SGP picks, Serie A parlay odds, soccer parlay.

Bologna vs Fiorentina: Bologna Draw No Bet (-169)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Bologna for the Draw No Bet market is a strong choice based on their impressive recent performance. Bologna has a perfect home record in the last five matches, with an average of 2.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded. This is significantly better than Fiorentina's away record, which includes four losses in the last five matches, scoring an average of only one goal and conceding 1.6. Bologna also has a superior record against Fiorentina, winning four of their last five encounters. Bologna's expected goals (xG) average is higher both overall and at home, indicating they create more scoring opportunities. These stats suggest Bologna is more likely to win or at least draw, making a bet on Bologna in the Draw No Bet market a statistically sound choice.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
18 Jan 26 Head to Head (3-Way) Fiorentina ✓ HIT
18 Jan 26 Moneyline Fiorentina ✓ HIT
18 Jan 26 Draw No Bet Bologna ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Fiorentina vs Bologna in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 18 January 2026 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Fiorentina 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
18 Jan 2026Fiorentina @ Bologna1–2Fiorentina
Today's selected board

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