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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for William Saliba is Over 1.5 on Shots.
On Shots, our numbers say this bet wins about 11 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 11%, implied 7%, edge +4.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 8:58PM UTC
Soccer

William Saliba

Marseille

+4.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots Over 1.5 +1400 (15.00) · $100→$1,500
+4.1% Edge
Spain @ France
Sat 18 Jul, 9:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer draw no bet calls: 34 of 77 right
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
11 in 100
Predicted
0.0 Shots
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 10.7% · the book's price implies 6.7% · gap +4.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots10.7%6.7%9.33+4.1%

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AI Analysis

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William Saliba (France) Over 1.5 Shots (+1400)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As France gears up to face Spain in this high-stakes World Cup clash, all eyes will be on the defensive stalwart, William Saliba. While he may not be the first name that springs to mind for total shots, there's a compelling narrative brewing. Saliba’s role at the back often sees him stepping into midfield during build-up plays, especially against a possession-heavy side like Spain. Although his recent shot averages are low, this match presents a unique opportunity. With France likely to push forward, Saliba could find pockets of space to take a crack at goal. Given the stakes of this tournament, he'll be eager to contribute offensively. The Over 1.5 shots market is enticing, especially with the potential for unexpected moments—think about how Spain's strategy could force Saliba into more attacking positions. In a World Cup setting, where every player is driven by the moment, taking a chance on Saliba could just pay off beautifully.

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Pick History & Track Record

William Saliba — 2024 season

William Saliba scored 0 goals with 1 assist in 5 Premier League appearances for Arsenal in the 2024 season, from 1 shots (0 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.0.

0
Goals
1
Assists
0.0
xG
1
Shots
0
On target
2
Key passes
5
Apps
450
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

William Saliba (Marseille) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for William Saliba is Over 1.5 on Shots. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.1% on this pick. Their next game is Spain vs France on Saturday 18 July. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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