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Soccer

Villarreal

Next game: Villarreal host Elche CF on Saturday 17 October. The market makes Villarreal about a 6 in 10 chance to win, a fair price of about $1.54, and a draw about a 2 in 10 chance. 8 of Villarreal's last 10 league games had over 2.5 goals. See the game preview

Won-drawn-lost2-2-3
At home1-0-2
Goals a game1.86
Last 5LLLWW
Next Game: vs Elche CF (Home) Sat 17 Oct, 4:15 PM CEST Estadio de la Cer?mica, Villarreal · Outdoor Game preview ›

Today's Game Pick

Our callFree
Elche CF at Villarreal
Over 3.5 total goals
Over 3.5 Total Goals
LEAN
Our numbers say this wins about 48 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $218 if it lands
You bet$10 If it wins$21.80 Odds+118
See why we picked it

Our model gives it about a 48% chance to land; the price says about 45%. That gap is why it made the board.

+10.2%
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Model updated Oct 10, 9:22PM UTC
Answer
The Villarreal model is leaning the over in the Total Goals market vs Elche CF.
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Every game bet, checked by our model

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Total GoalsWith Pro
SpreadWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Head to Head (3-Way)With Pro
Both Teams to ScoreWith Pro
SpreadWith Pro
Draw No BetWith Pro

The model has graded 7 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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How the price moved

When prices opened: Villarreal about 6 in 10 to win. Now: about 7 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
ResultMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Villarrealabout 7 in 10$1.54$1.48
Drawabout 2 in 10$5.13$5.00
Elche CFabout 2 in 10$6.45$6.50

On this match the bookies keep about $6.10 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 35 books we check.

All Soccer odds this week →

Villarreal fixtures and results, 2026-27

Results and upcoming games
DateOpponentResultOver 2.5 goalsBoth teams scoredGame
Sun 16 Augat SantanderD 2-2YesYes–
Sun 23 Augat Atlético MadridD 2-2YesYesGame page
Fri 28 Augat AlavésL 0-1NoNoGame page
Sat 5 Sepvs La CorunaL 2-3YesYes–
Mon 14 Sepvs Real BetisL 1-2YesYesGame page
Thu 17 Sepat MalagaW 3-1YesYes–
Sun 20 Sepvs LevanteW 3-1YesYesGame page
Sat 10 Octat Real MadridResult to come––Game page
Sat 17 Octvs Elche CFUpcoming · 4:15 PM CEST––Preview

Team results only; these are not Bet Better’s picks.

How often Villarreal games have goals

Team history

In 2024-25, 23 of Villarreal's 36 league games had over 2.5 goals (13 of 18 at home), and both teams scored in 24. So far in 2026-27: 6 of 7 had over 2.5 goals.

SeasonOver 2.5 goals at homeOver 2.5 goals awayOver 2.5 goals, allBoth teams scoredResults
2026-27 (so far)3 of 33 of 46 of 76 of 72 won, 2 drew, 3 lost
2024-2513 of 1810 of 1823 of 3624 of 3618 won, 10 drew, 8 lost
2023-2414 of 1911 of 1925 of 3830 of 3814 won, 11 drew, 13 lost
2022-2310 of 199 of 1919 of 3819 of 3819 won, 7 drew, 12 lost
2021-2210 of 197 of 1917 of 3818 of 3816 won, 11 drew, 11 lost
2020-2111 of 1911 of 1922 of 3825 of 3815 won, 13 drew, 10 lost
2019-2013 of 1913 of 1926 of 3825 of 3818 won, 6 drew, 14 lost
What do these numbers mean?

Over 2.5 goals means three or more goals in the game. Both teams scored means each side scored at least once. Complete seasons only, plus this season so far.

Team history, counted from final scores. Not Bet Better’s picks.

Availability

Roster status
Player availability is not tracked for Soccer. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Betting angles

5 markets live
Moneylinevs Elche CF (H)-213
70%model win %
11-5-4W-D-L, last 20 2024-25
GF/g1.8GA/g1.0
Last 10 results6 W / 10

Villarreal have gone 11-5-4 over their last 20 matches, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 goals per game; Bet Better's model reads their win chance at 70% in this fixture.

Draw No Betvs Elche CF (H)-588
84%model win %
11-5-4W-D-L, last 20 2024-25
GF/g1.8GA/g1.0

Villarreal to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 84% for Villarreal.

Both Teams to Scorevs Elche CF (H)-167
64%model both-score %
55%both teams scored, last 20 2024-25
GF/g1.8GA/g1.0
Both scored (last 10)5 / 10 both scored

Both teams have scored in 55% of Villarreal's last 20 matches; our model makes both teams scoring 64% here.

Total Goalsvs Elche CF (H)Over +3.5 +118
54%model over %
55%over 2.5, last 20 2024-25
Avg goals2.8
Over 2.5 (last 10)7 / 10 over

Over 2.5 goals landed in 55% of Villarreal's last 20 matches (avg 2.8 goals); the model prices Over at 54% here.

Spreadvs Elche CF (H)Villarreal -1 -154
63%model cover %
+0.8avg goal margin, last 20 2024-25
GF/g1.8GA/g1.0

Villarreal on the -1 goal handicap; the model prices this cover at 63%.

Latest match preview

Villarreal's latest Bet Better match preview covers Real Madrid vs Villarreal, with model predictions and a same-game parlay breakdown.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Top SGP: High-Value Opportunity

Real Madrid v Villarreal, 10 October 2026. Top of the list: Villarreal +2 Goal Handicap. Our model likes one bet in this game. Here is why, in plain English.

Questions about Villarreal

When do Villarreal play next?

Villarreal host Elche CF on Saturday 17 October 2026.

How often do Villarreal games have over 2.5 goals?

In 2024-25, 23 of Villarreal's 36 league games had over 2.5 goals (13 of 18 at home). So far in 2026-27: 6 of 7 had over 2.5 goals.

How often do both teams score in Villarreal games?

In 2024-25, both teams scored in 24 of Villarreal's 36 league games.

Where can I see Villarreal's next game preview?

Bet Better's Villarreal vs Elche CF game page has the preview and the latest prices. Open the game page

About This Team

Villarreal are tracked by the Bet Better model across Soccer games. Their next game is against Elche CF on Saturday 17 October at Estadio de la Cer?mica. Use the data above to inform your Soccer betting decisions for Villarreal.

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