Soccer

Villarreal

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results

Next Game: vs Atlético Madrid (Away) Sun 23 Aug, 3:00PM

Model updated Aug 10, 9:21PM UTC

Answer

The Villarreal model is leaning the over in the Total Goals market vs Atlético Madrid.

exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.

Today's Game Pick

Model edge

Total Goals

Over 0.5

Odds: -2000

Model prob: 96.3% · a $100 bet returns about $105 if it lands

+1.0%

Free pick — today's headline game edge

The model picked today's free one for you. Unlock its full write-up, every other game market and all player props for this team.

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair

Market	Model output
Total Goals	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Both Teams to Score	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Draw No Bet	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Moneyline	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Head to Head (3-Way)	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Head to Head (3-Way)	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Moneyline	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread	Probability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 9 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Model Performance History

All results →

1

Total Picks

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Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Date	Opponent	Market	Pick	Result
28 Feb 26	Barcelona	Moneyline	Draw	✗ MISS

Betting angles

1 market live

MoneylineBoth Teams to ScoreTotal Goals

Moneylinevs Atlético Madrid (A)+330

11-5-4W-D-L, last 20 2024-25

GF/g1.8GA/g1.0

Last 10 results6 W / 10

Villarreal have gone 11-5-4 over their last 20 matches, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 goals per game; Bet Better's model reads their win chance at 27% in this fixture.

Both Teams to Scorevs Atlético Madrid (A)No line posted

55%both teams scored, last 20 2024-25

GF/g1.8GA/g1.0

Both scored (last 10)5 / 10 both scored

Both teams have scored in 55% of Villarreal's last 20 matches.

Total Goalsvs Atlético Madrid (A)No line posted

55%over 2.5, last 20 2024-25

Avg goals2.8

Over 2.5 (last 10)7 / 10 over

Over 2.5 goals landed in 55% of Villarreal's last 20 matches (avg 2.8 goals).

Preview

Latest match preview

Villarreal's latest Bet Better match preview covers Villarreal vs Real Sociedad, with model predictions and a same-game parlay breakdown.

Villarreal vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Top SGP: Analytics Breakdown

Winning soccer bets for Villarreal vs Real Sociedad? We break down La Liga odds and insights. Featuring picks like NA player props. Explore same game parlay, SGP picks, La Liga parlay odds, soccer parlay.

About This Team

Villarreal are tracked by the Bet Better model across Soccer games. Their next game is against Atlético Madrid on Sunday 23 August. Use the data above to inform your Soccer betting decisions for Villarreal.

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