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Soccer

Jean-Philippe Mateta

Crystal Palace

Value call

Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace) has one live pick today: to score a goal that pays $255 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
42 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Anytime Goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 41.8% · the book's price implies 39.2% · gap +2.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Aston Villa @ Crystal Palace
Selhurst Park, London, Greater London · Outdoor
Wed 7 Jan, 7:30 PM UK time
Jean-Philippe Mateta
to score a goal
Anytime Goal Yes +155 (2.55) · $100→$255
Value call
LEANWins about 42 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$25.50 Odds+155
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jean-Philippe Mateta is Yes on Anytime Goal.
On Anytime Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 42 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 42%, the price says 39%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 12:37AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Goal41.8%—39.2%2.39+2.6%

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AI Analysis

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Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+155)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Jean-Philippe Mateta has a strong scoring record, particularly at home. Over the last five games, he has averaged 0.6 goals and 2 shots at home, with 1.2 of these shots being on target. This suggests that he is consistently getting into scoring positions and creating opportunities. Furthermore, his hit rate at home in the last four games is 75% (3/4), indicating a high probability of scoring. Despite his current hit streak being at zero, his overall hit rate in his last nine games is 66.67% (6/9), which is significantly higher than the implied probability of 39.2%. Therefore, betting on Mateta to score anytime during the Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa game is a good choice based on his strong home performance and high hit rate.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jean-Philippe Mateta — 2024 season

Jean-Philippe Mateta scored 0 goals with 3 assists in 3 Premier League appearances for Crystal Palace in the 2024 season, from 0 shots (0 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.0.

0
Goals
3
Assists
0.0
xG
0
Shots
0
On target
3
Key passes
3
Apps
106
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jean-Philippe Mateta is Yes on Anytime Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace on Wednesday 7 January at Selhurst Park, London. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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