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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jean-Philippe Mateta is Yes on Anytime Goal.
On the Anytime Goal market the model assigns a model win probability of 42%, versus the book's implied 39%, for a model edge of +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 7:11PM UTC
Soccer

Jean-Philippe Mateta

Crystal Palace

+2.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Goal Yes +155 (2.55) · $100→$255
+2.6% Edge
Aston Villa @ Crystal Palace
Selhurst Park, London, Greater London · Outdoor
Wed 7 Jan, 7:30PM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
41.8%
Implied Probability
39.2%
Model Edge
+2.6%
Predicted Value
0.4 Anytime Goal

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Goal41.8%39.2%2.39+2.6%

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AI Analysis

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Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+155)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Jean-Philippe Mateta has a strong scoring record, particularly at home. Over the last five games, he has averaged 0.6 goals and 2 shots at home, with 1.2 of these shots being on target. This suggests that he is consistently getting into scoring positions and creating opportunities. Furthermore, his hit rate at home in the last four games is 75% (3/4), indicating a high probability of scoring. Despite his current hit streak being at zero, his overall hit rate in his last nine games is 66.67% (6/9), which is significantly higher than the implied probability of 39.2%. Therefore, betting on Mateta to score anytime during the Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa game is a good choice based on his strong home performance and high hit rate.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jean-Philippe Mateta is Yes on Anytime Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace on Wednesday 7 January at Selhurst Park, London. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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