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Soccer

Derby County

Next game: Derby County play at Millwall on Saturday 31 October. The market makes Derby County about a 2 in 10 chance to win, a fair price of about $5.05, and a draw about a 2 in 10 chance. 4 of Derby County's last 10 league games had over 2.5 goals. See the game preview

Won-drawn-lost1-4-7
At home0-2-4
Goals a game0.83
Last 5DDLLD
Next Game: vs Millwall (Away) Sat 31 Oct, 3:00 PM UK time The Den, London · Outdoor Game preview ›

Today's Game Pick

Our callFree
Derby County at Millwall
Derby County
to win
Derby County Moneyline
LONG-SHOT
Our numbers say this wins about 19 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $475 if it lands
You bet$10 If it wins$47.50 Odds+375
See why we picked it

Our model gives it about a 19% chance to land.

+6.7%
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Model updated Oct 31, 12:25AM UTC
Answer
The Derby County model is leaning Derby County in the Moneyline market vs Millwall.
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Every game bet, checked by our model

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
MoneylineWith Pro
Head to Head (3-Way)With Pro
Both Teams to ScoreWith Pro
Draw No BetWith Pro

The model has graded 4 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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How the price moved

When prices opened: Millwall about 5 in 10 to win. Now: about 6 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
ResultMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Millwallabout 6 in 10$1.79$1.73
Drawabout 2 in 10$4.07$4.00
Derby Countyabout 2 in 10$5.09$5.00

On this match the bookies keep about $7.20 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 48 books we check.

All Soccer odds this week →

Derby County fixtures and results, 2026-27

Results
DateOpponentResultOver 2.5 goalsBoth teams scoredGame
Sat 15 Augat Charlton AthleticL 1-2YesYes–
Sat 22 Augvs Cardiff CityD 2-2YesYes–
Sat 29 Augvs Swansea CityL 0-3YesNo–
Tue 1 Sepat PortsmouthW 2-0NoNo–
Sat 5 Sepat West Ham UnitedL 0-3YesNo–
Wed 9 Sepvs West Bromwich AlbionL 0-1NoNo–
Sat 12 Sepvs Birmingham CityL 1-2YesYesGame page
Sat 19 Sepat BurnleyD 1-1NoYesGame page
Sat 10 Octvs Wrexham AFCD 1-1NoYesGame page
Wed 14 Octat Queens Park RangersL 1-4YesYesGame page
Sat 17 Octvs Stoke CityL 0-1NoNoGame page
Sat 24 Octat Sheffield UnitedD 1-1NoYesGame page

Team results only; these are not Bet Better’s picks.

How often Derby County games have goals

Team history

In 2025-26, 24 of Derby County's 46 league games had over 2.5 goals (9 of 23 at home), and both teams scored in 30. So far in 2026-27: 6 of 12 had over 2.5 goals.

SeasonOver 2.5 goals at homeOver 2.5 goals awayOver 2.5 goals, allBoth teams scoredResults
2026-273 of 63 of 66 of 127 of 121 won, 4 drew, 7 lost
2025-269 of 2315 of 2324 of 4630 of 4620 won, 9 drew, 17 lost
2024-257 of 2311 of 2318 of 4621 of 4613 won, 11 drew, 22 lost
2021-2210 of 238 of 2318 of 4623 of 4614 won, 13 drew, 19 lost
2020-215 of 2311 of 2316 of 4616 of 4611 won, 11 drew, 24 lost
2019-209 of 2316 of 2325 of 4628 of 4617 won, 13 drew, 16 lost
What do these numbers mean?

Over 2.5 goals means three or more goals in the game. Both teams scored means each side scored at least once. Complete seasons only, plus this season so far.

Team history, counted from final scores. Not Bet Better’s picks.

Availability

Roster status
Player availability is not tracked for Soccer. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Betting angles

3 markets live
Moneylinevs Millwall (A)+400

Bet Better's model reads Derby County's win chance at 26% in this fixture.

Draw No Betvs Millwall (A)+230

Derby County to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 33% for Derby County.

Both Teams to Scorevs Millwall (A)+106
52%model both-score %

Derby County both-teams-to-score angle; our model makes both teams scoring 52% here.

Questions about Derby County

When do Derby County play next?

Derby County play at Millwall on Saturday 31 October 2026.

How often do Derby County games have over 2.5 goals?

In 2025-26, 24 of Derby County's 46 league games had over 2.5 goals (9 of 23 at home). So far in 2026-27: 6 of 12 had over 2.5 goals.

How often do both teams score in Derby County games?

In 2025-26, both teams scored in 30 of Derby County's 46 league games.

Where can I see Derby County's next game preview?

Bet Better's Millwall vs Derby County game page has the preview and the latest prices. Open the game page

About This Team

Derby County are tracked by the Bet Better model across Soccer games. Their next game is against Millwall on Saturday 31 October at The Den. Use the data above to inform your Soccer betting decisions for Derby County.

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