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Model picks & player props
Derby County
VS
Burnley

Derby County vs Burnley Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 4 markets for Derby County vs Burnley and backs No hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $205.

Soccer
Turf Moor, Burnley
Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep 2026, 2:00PM
4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
No Both Teams to Score +105

The model graded 4 markets for Derby County vs Burnley (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $205 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 19 Sep 2026, 2:00PM at Turf Moor.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win52.8%
The price says46.5%
Best price+105
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Both Teams to Score No Lean53% chance +105
Draw No Bet Members only Long-shot31% chance Members
Head to Head (3-Way) Members only Long-shot22% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot22% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Derby County and Burnley last met on Sat 19 Sep 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Both Teams to Score
No
+105
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Derby CountyDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Derby CountyHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Derby CountyMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Derby County

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Burnley

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Derby County vs Burnley: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineDerby County @ BurnleyNo line posted
2-7-11Burnley form 2023-24
Derby County28%Home form2-7-11

Burnley vs Derby County moneyline. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsDerby County @ BurnleyNo line posted
73%model over %
Home ov2.565%

Burnley vs Derby County total-goals angle; the model prices Under at 73% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Derby County @ Burnley — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Derby County at Burnley — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Derby County vs Burnley in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Saturday 19 September 2026 at Turf Moor. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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