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Soccer

Niklas Stark

Hertha Berlin

Value call

Niklas Stark (Hertha Berlin) has one live pick today: over 1.5 shots that pays $1,700 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
14 in 100
Predicted
0.4 shots
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 14.2% · before adjusting for past results 17.5% · the book's price implies 5.9% · gap +8.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Werder Bremen @ Borussia Dortmund
Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, North Rhine-Westphalia · Outdoor
Fri 9 Oct, 8:30 PM CEST
Niklas Stark
over 1.5 shots
Shots Over 1.5 +1600 (17.00) · $100→$1,700
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 14 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$170.00 Odds+1600
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Niklas Stark is Over 1.5 on Shots.
On Shots, our numbers say this bet wins about 14 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 14%, the price says 6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 9:37PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots17.5%14.2%5.9%7.05+11.7%

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AI Analysis

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Niklas Stark (Werder Bremen) Over 1.5 Shots (+1600)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As we look ahead to Friday's clash between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen, Niklas Stark stands out as a compelling candidate for the Over 1.5 total shots market. While his recent averages may not scream "shot machine," it's worth noting that Bremen will be facing a relentless Dortmund side known for their offensive prowess. Stark, playing as a defender, often finds himself pushed forward in search of opportunities, especially away from home where he’s averaged 0.4 shots per game. Dortmund's high pressing style could force Stark into deeper involvement, and with Werder likely spending significant time defending, he may seize the chance to unleash a few long-range efforts. The model suggests a favorable edge here, highlighting that at least two shots from Stark feels just within reach. Given the stakes and the match context, this might just be the moment he breaks out of his shooting slump.

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Pick History & Track Record

Niklas Stark — 2024 season

Niklas Stark scored 0 goals with 0 assists in 4 Bundesliga appearances for Werder Bremen in the 2024 season, from 1 shots (0 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.0.

0
Goals
0
Assists
0.0
xG
1
Shots
0
On target
0
Key passes
4
Apps
360
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Niklas Stark (Hertha Berlin) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Niklas Stark is Over 1.5 on Shots. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.7% on this pick. Their next game is Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund on Friday 9 October at Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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