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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Dodgers
VS
San Diego Padres

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 4:21AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Petco Park, San Diego
Outdoor
Sun 28 Jun 2026, 8:10PM
20
Game markets graded
11
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
San Diego Padres 8 Spread +1800

The model graded 31 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $1,900 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 28 Jun 2026, 8:10PM at Petco Park.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win95.8%
The price says5.3%
Best price+1800
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread San Diego Padres 8 High96% chance +1800
Spread High93% chance
Spread High95% chance
Spread High98% chance
Spread High97% chance
Spread High99% chance
Spread High99% chance
Total Runs High99% chance
Total Runs High100% chance
Batter - Hits × 2 props Highup to 89%
Batter - Total Bases × 2 props Highup to 86%
Batter - Walks × 3 props Highup to 100%
Batter - Stolen Bases × 2 props Highup to 100%
Batter - Doubles × 2 props Highup to 100%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres last met on Sun 28 Jun 2026. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 74 of 108 right (mlb batter hits overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 5
Brady House Over 0.5
Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $172
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
San Diego Padres
+7.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Shohei Ohtani DHDay-to-day
  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Dalton Rushing CDay-to-day
  • Max Muncy 3BDay-to-day
  • Roki Sasaki SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Andy Pages CFOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Eric Lauer SPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

Probable pitcher

Tyler Glasnow SP

San Diego Padres

  • Joe Musgrove SPOut
  • Luis Rengifo LFOut
  • Nick Pivetta SPOut
  • Gavin Sheets 1BOut
  • Jeremiah Estrada RPOut
  • Lucas Giolito SPOut
  • Jason Adam RPOut
  • Miguel Andujar DHOut
  • Ramon Laureano LFOut
  • Bryan Hoeing RPOut

Probable pitcher

Robbie Ray SP
Availability updated Sep 6, 1:10AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 23 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability23 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Fernando Tatis Jr. SDP Batter - Hits
Fernando Tatis Jr. SDP Batter - Total Bases
Samad Taylor Batter - Walks
Manny Machado SDP Batter - Walks
Manny Machado SDP Batter - Hits

+ 11 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSan Diego PadresNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.8Home L51-4vs Los Angeles Dodgers L52-3Free board16-12

San Diego Padres moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Run LineSan Diego Padres run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.8Home L51-4vs Los Angeles Dodgers L52-3

San Diego Padres spread form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles DodgersNo line posted

San Diego Padres total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSan Diego Padres team totalNo line posted
1.4runs we expect
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.8Home L51-4vs Los Angeles Dodgers L52-3

San Diego Padres team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres — what the model found

Our model graded 31 betting markets for Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres — 20 on the game itself and 11 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
11
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 31 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 30 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres — recent results

San Diego Padres have won 2 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Dodgers have won 2 of their last 5.

San Diego Padres — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–2NYYHome
L3–7CINAway
L3–4CINAway
W5–0CINAway
L4–5TBAway
Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–2STLHome
L6–8STLHome
L8–13STLHome
W6–1DETAway
L1–2DETAway

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: San Diego Padres won 3, Los Angeles Dodgers won 7.

DateSan Diego PadresLos Angeles DodgersWinner
Jul 503Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 552San Diego Padres
Jul 434Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 3712Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 28315Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 2824Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 2771San Diego Padres
May 2104Los Angeles Dodgers
May 2045Los Angeles Dodgers
May 1910San Diego Padres

Who’s out or in doubt

23 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

San Diego Padres
PlayerStatus
Joe Musgrove SPOUT
Luis Rengifo LFOUT
Nick Pivetta SPOUT
Gavin Sheets 1BOUT
Jeremiah Estrada RPOUT
Lucas Giolito SPOUT
Jason Adam RPOUT
Miguel Andujar DHOUT
Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Shohei Ohtani DHDAY-TO-DAY
Edwin Diaz RPOUT
Dalton Rushing CDAY-TO-DAY
Max Muncy 3BDAY-TO-DAY
Roki Sasaki SPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Jake Cousins RPOUT
Andy Pages CFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Fernando Tatis Jr.. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers stats and odds.

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers : Los Angeles Dodgers +2 (-182)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
16
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
28 Jun 26 Total Runs Under 17.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Total Runs Under 18.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Total Runs Under 19 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread San Diego Padres +10.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread San Diego Padres +11 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Total Runs Under 4.5 ✗ MISS
28 Jun 26 Spread Los Angeles Dodgers +1 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 7 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread Los Angeles Dodgers +2 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 5.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 8 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 6 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Dodgers vs Padres, or as Padres vs Dodgers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 28 June 2026 at Petco Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 11 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 62 meetings on record
Los Angeles Dodgers 42–20 across the last 62 meetings · these games average 9.3 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
5 Jul 2026San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers3–0Los Angeles Dodgers
4 Jul 2026San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–3Los Angeles Dodgers
3 Jul 2026San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers12–7Los Angeles Dodgers
2 Jul 2026San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers12–7Los Angeles Dodgers
28 Jun 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres3–15Los Angeles Dodgers
27 Jun 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres3–15Los Angeles Dodgers
26 Jun 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres7–1San Diego Padres
21 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres0–4Los Angeles Dodgers
20 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres4–5Los Angeles Dodgers
19 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres4–5Los Angeles Dodgers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 62 meetings on file.

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