Mitch Keller (PIT) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Mitch Keller's recent performance data strongly supports the bet on Over 2.5 hits allowed. Over his last five games, Keller's average hits allowed, both overall and at home, surpass the betting line of 2.5. His overall average hits allowed is 5.6, while at home it's slightly higher at 5.8. His performance against the Brewers is even more telling, with an average of 6.8 hits allowed. Additionally, Keller's innings pitched and outs averages suggest he's likely to be on the mound long enough to allow more than 2.5 hits. His current hit streaks, overall and at home, further underscore his tendency to allow hits. These statistics collectively indicate a high probability of Keller allowing more than 2.5 hits in the upcoming game, making this bet a solid choice.

Mitch Keller (PIT) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Mitch Keller has consistently allowed walks in his last five games, with an average of 2 walks per game overall and 2.2 at home. His innings pitched (IP) averages also suggest he'll be on the mound long enough to give up at least one walk, with an overall IP average of 5.5 and a home IP average of 5.3. Furthermore, Keller's current hit streak is 8 overall and 2 at home, indicating a pattern of allowing hits, which often correlates with walks. The bet on over 0.5 walks is statistically sound, as the data shows that Keller is likely to allow at least one walk based on his recent performance.

Christian Yelich (MIL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-417)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Christian Yelich for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice based on his recent performance. Over the last five games, Yelich's overall stolen bases average is 0.4 and his away game stolen bases average is only 0.2. This indicates that he is less likely to steal bases when playing away from home. Furthermore, when playing against the Pirates, his stolen bases average is still 0.4, providing no significant advantage. Additionally, his current hit streak for both overall and away games is only 1, implying that he is not in a hot streak that might increase his chance of stealing bases. Therefore, the statistics suggest that Yelich is unlikely to steal more than 0.5 bases in the upcoming game.

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