Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs : Chicago Cubs Win (+108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Chicago Cubs are a solid bet for this game, primarily due to their recent offensive performance. Over the last five games, the Cubs have averaged 6.8 runs, significantly outscoring the Pirates who have managed only 4.2 runs on average. This offensive prowess is even more evident in away games, where the Cubs have averaged 5.6 runs compared to the Pirates' home average of 3.6. Defensively, the Cubs have been slightly more generous, allowing an average of 4.8 runs, but this is offset by their strong offense. Additionally, the Pirates' recent form has been underwhelming, with a 2-3 record in their last five games overall and at home. Therefore, based on these statistics, the Chicago Cubs are the stronger team and a good bet for the Moneyline market.

Oneil Cruz (PIT) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Oneil Cruz's performance data indicates a strong rationale for betting Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market. His last five games overall and at home show an average stolen base rate of just 0.4, suggesting he's more likely not to steal a base in a given game. Furthermore, Cruz's current hit streaks, both overall and at home, are relatively low, which reduces the probability of him getting on base and subsequently stealing a base. In addition, in his last five games against the Cubs, Cruz's stolen base average is slightly higher at 0.6, but still falls under the line set at 0.5. With no caught stealing instances in the recent games, it seems Cruz is not taking many risks on the bases. These factors collectively indicate a strong likelihood of Cruz staying under 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game.

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