Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Thomas Duffy is Yes on Try Scorer Last.
On Try Scorer Last, our numbers say this bet wins about 2 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 2%, implied 1%, edge +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Aug 25, 10:51AM UTC
NRL

Thomas Duffy

NRL

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Try Scorer Last Yes +6600 (67.00) · $100→$6,700
+0.2% Edge
Melbourne Storm @ Brisbane Broncos
Thu 27 Aug, 9:50AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
2 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 1.7% · the book's price implies 1.5% · gap +0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Try Scorer Last1.7%—1.5%57.40+0.2%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games2/10

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Brisbane Broncos vs Melbourne Storm: Thomas Duffy Last Try Scorer (+6600)

Odds available at betr at time of publishing

On Thursday 27 August 2026, Brisbane Broncos host Melbourne Storm in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Thomas Duffy Last Try Scorer. This wins if Thomas Duffy scores the very last try of the game. It was priced at +6600 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $670 if it lands. That price was showing at betr. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Thomas Duffy is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Thomas Duffy is Yes on Try Scorer Last. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos on Thursday 27 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.