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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ben Talty is Over 1.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 1%, implied 1%, edge +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Aug 17, 6:19PM UTC
NRL

Ben Talty

NRL

+0.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 1.5 +12500 (126.00) · $100→$12,600
+0.1% Edge
Newcastle Knights @ Brisbane Broncos
Sat 1 Aug, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 0.9% · the book's price implies 0.8% · gap +0.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over0.9%0.8%+0.1%

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AI Analysis

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Ben Talty Over 1.5 To Score 2+ Tries (+15000)

Odds available at pointsbetau at time of publishing

Ben Talty has a big role in the Brisbane Broncos' attack, so there's always a chance he can score a couple of tries. The Newcastle Knights have had some struggles in defense lately, which could create openings for him. However, this bet is a genuine long shot, meaning it might not happen. Still, if he gets the ball in the right spots, he could surprise us. Just remember, sometimes these things don't go as planned, so keep that in mind when placing your bet!

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 Newcastle Knights @ Brisbane Broncos Tries Over Pending

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About This Player

Ben Talty is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ben Talty is Over 1.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos on Saturday 1 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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