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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tallis Duncan is Over 2.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 1%, implied 1%, edge +0.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Aug 21, 12:34PM UTC
NRL

Tallis Duncan

NRL

+0.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 2.5 +10000 (101.00) · $100→$10,100
+0.0% Edge
New Zealand Warriors @ South Sydney Rabbitohs
Sat 22 Aug, 7:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 1.0% · the book's price implies 1.0% · gap +0.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over1.0%—1.0%96.48+0.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors: Tallis Duncan Over 2.5 Tries (+10000)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Saturday 22 August 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host New Zealand Warriors in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Tallis Duncan Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Tallis Duncan scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +10000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1010 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tallis Duncan is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tallis Duncan is Over 2.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.0% on this pick. Their next game is New Zealand Warriors vs South Sydney Rabbitohs on Saturday 22 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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