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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Matty Nicholson is Over 2.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 0 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 0%, implied 0%, edge +0.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Aug 18, 11:08AM UTC
NRL

Matty Nicholson

NRL

+0.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 2.5 +25000 (251.00) · $100→$25,100
+0.0% Edge
Canberra Raiders @ Penrith Panthers
Sat 1 Aug, 7:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
0 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 0.4% · the book's price implies 0.4% · gap +0.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over0.4%0.4%+0.0%

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AI Analysis

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Matty Nicholson Over 2.5 To Score 3+ Tries (+25000)

Odds available at pointsbetau at time of publishing

Matty Nicholson is a young player for the Penrith Panthers, and he has been showing some real promise in attack. He'll be facing the Canberra Raiders, who have had a mix of good and bad days in defense. Scoring over 2.5 tries is definitely a long shot, but if Nicholson finds some space and gets a few chances near the try line, he could surprise us. Remember, this is a risky bet, and there's no guarantee it will happen, but sometimes those long shots can pay off in the most exciting ways!

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Matty Nicholson is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matty Nicholson is Over 2.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.0% on this pick. Their next game is Canberra Raiders vs Penrith Panthers on Saturday 1 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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