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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Papalii is Over 1.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 1%, implied 1%, edge +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Aug 17, 6:21PM UTC
NRL

Josh Papalii

NRL

+0.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 1.5 +15000 (151.00) · $100→$15,100
+0.1% Edge
Canberra Raiders @ Penrith Panthers
Sat 1 Aug, 7:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 0.7% · the book's price implies 0.7% · gap +0.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over0.7%—0.7%—+0.1%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Papalii Over 1.5 To Score 2+ Tries (+15000)

Odds available at tab at time of publishing

Josh Papalii has a big role in the Raiders' attack, especially close to the try line. He's a powerful player, and when he gets the ball near the goal, he's tough to stop. The Panthers have a strong defense, but if Papalii gets a few chances, he could score. This bet is a bit of a long shot, but with his skills and the right game flow, you never know what might happen. Just remember, it's all about luck, and there are no guarantees in sports!

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Josh Papalii is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Papalii is Over 1.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Canberra Raiders vs Penrith Panthers on Saturday 1 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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