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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ryan Leonard is Under 2.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 69 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 69%, implied 66%, edge +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 2:30AM UTC
NHL

Ryan Leonard

Washington Capitals

+2.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal Under 2.5 -196 (1.51) · $100→$151
+2.6% Edge
Washington Capitals @ Toronto Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, FUT · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
69 in 100
Predicted
1.3 Shots on Goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 68.8% · the book's price implies 66.2% · gap +2.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal68.8%66.2%1.45+2.6%

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AI Analysis

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Ryan Leonard (Washington Capitals) Under 2.5 Shots On Goal (-196)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The spotlight is on Ryan Leonard as the Capitals face off against the Maple Leafs tonight. Leonard's recent performance turns heads—not for record-breaking shots, but for his low firing rate. In his last five matches, both home and away, he's averaged a modest 1.6 shots per game. On the road, he's struggled to get a single shot off, and we've seen this pattern repeated in 6 of his last 7 away games. Now, Leonard is stepping onto Maple Leafs' ice—a challenging environment that's likely to keep his trigger finger cool. So, for those looking to bet on 'Player Shots On Goal', the smart money is on Leonard staying under 2.5 shots. The stats tell a story of a player who's more likely to pass than shoot, making this a bet worth considering.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Ryan Leonard has 5 goals and 4 assists (9 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
14 Apr 26@ CBJ0002216:05
12 Apr 26vs PIT0112115:40
11 Apr 26@ PIT2023214:00
8 Apr 26@ TOR1014513:22
5 Apr 26@ NYR0002315:58
4 Apr 26vs BUF1012212:55
2 Apr 26@ NJD0114213:46
31 Mar 26vs PHI1122011:29
28 Mar 26@ VGK0114215:17
26 Mar 26@ UTA0003215:22
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ryan Leonard (Washington Capitals) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ryan Leonard is Under 2.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs on Wednesday 8 April at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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