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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ryan Leonard is Under 2.5 on Shots on Goal.
On the Shots on Goal market the model assigns a model win probability of 69%, versus the book's implied 66%, for a model edge of +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
NHL

Ryan Leonard

Washington Capitals

+2.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal Under 2.5 -196 (1.51)
+2.6% Edge
Washington Capitals @ Toronto Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, FUT · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
68.8%
Implied Probability
66.2%
Model Edge
+2.6%
Predicted Value
1.3 Shots on Goal

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal68.8%66.2%1.45+2.6%

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AI Analysis

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Ryan Leonard (Washington Capitals) Under 2.5 Shots On Goal (-196)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The spotlight is on Ryan Leonard as the Capitals face off against the Maple Leafs tonight. Leonard's recent performance turns heads—not for record-breaking shots, but for his low firing rate. In his last five matches, both home and away, he's averaged a modest 1.6 shots per game. On the road, he's struggled to get a single shot off, and we've seen this pattern repeated in 6 of his last 7 away games. Now, Leonard is stepping onto Maple Leafs' ice—a challenging environment that's likely to keep his trigger finger cool. So, for those looking to bet on 'Player Shots On Goal', the smart money is on Leonard staying under 2.5 shots. The stats tell a story of a player who's more likely to pass than shoot, making this a bet worth considering.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Shots on GoalModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
1.3projected shots (model)
Line2.5Model proj1.3Last oppTORListed5

Ryan Leonard (Washington Capitals) NHL Shots on Goal: BetBetter's model projects 1.3 shots against a market line of 2.5 vs TOR. 5 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Washington Capitals @ Toronto Maple Leafs Shots on Goal 2.5 Under -196 ✗ MISS
05 Apr 26 Washington Capitals @ New York Rangers Shots on Goal 2.5 Under -204 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Ryan Leonard (Washington Capitals) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ryan Leonard is Under 2.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs on Wednesday 8 April at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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